Sport Picks

United Arab Emirates

UAE League 2025/2026 Al Maktoum Stadium

Khorfakkan

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Al Nasr play Khorfakkan in the UAE League 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Al Nasr averaged 1.41 goals scored and 1.41 conceded. Khorfakkan averaged 1.32 goals scored and 1.68 conceded. In past meetings, Al Nasr won 2, Khorfakkan won 0, and they drew 3. Their last match on Feb 22, 2026 ended 2:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.63 for Al Nasr and 1.31 for Khorfakkan. This points to a Al Nasr double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%

Al Nasr

35%

Draws

25%

Khorfakkan

Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Al Nasr

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence

Al Nasr picked up more points recently compared to Khorfakkan.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.63 vs 1.31 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 59%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 78%

Over 2.5 Goals 59%

Over 3.5 Goals 35%

Over 4.5 Goals 18%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66%

Al Nasr Clean Sheet 18%

Khorfakkan Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 70%

Second Half Goal 74%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Al Nasr	Khorfakkan
Matches Played	32	31
Wins	11	7
Draws	12	11
Losses	9	13
Goals Scored	1.41	1.32
Goals Conceded	1.41	1.68
Expected Goals (xG)	1.63	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.25	1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 UAE League

Al Nasr vs Khorfakkan

Possession: 43% - 44% Cards: 2 - 4

2:2

Jan 17, 2026 UAE League

Khorfakkan vs Al Nasr

Possession: 53% - 47% Cards: 2 - 2

0:0

May 3, 2025 UAE League

Khorfakkan vs Al Nasr

Possession: 40% - 46% Cards: 2 - 1

3:3

Dec 15, 2024 UAE League

Al Nasr vs Khorfakkan

Possession: 58% - 56% Cards: 1 - 3

3:1

May 13, 2024 UAE League

Al Nasr vs Khorfakkan

Possession: 53% - 58% Cards: 3 - 4

2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Nasr Compare

Top Goalscorer Ghaedi M.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.81

Khorfakkan Compare

Top Goalscorer Tissoudali T.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Diallo A.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Nasr 40 / 100

Khorfakkan 25 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Al Nasr Khorfakkan

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Al Nasr or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +25.2%

3.13

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +11.5%

1.89

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Al Nasr attacking → ← attacking Khorfakkan

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Nasr scored in 78% of their last 32 games.

Khorfakkan let in goals in 77% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Al Nasr went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Khorfakkan lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

45 Points in last 5 32

1.63 Goals expected (xG) 1.38

1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.63

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Al Ain	26	21	5	0	62:18	68
2	Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai	26	17	7	2	60:18	58
3	Al Wasl	26	14	6	6	39:29	48
4	Al Jazira	26	13	5	8	46:30	44
5	Al Wahda	26	10	10	6	38:26	40
6	Al Nasr	26	9	11	6	36:34	38
7	Ajman	26	9	5	12	27:34	32
8	Al Sharjah	26	8	5	13	35:47	29
9	Khorfakkan	26	6	9	11	35:45	27
10	Bani Yas	26	7	6	13	29:43	27
11	Ittihad Kalba	26	5	9	12	29:45	24
12	Al Dhafra	26	6	4	16	28:52	22
13	Al Bataeh	26	4	9	13	24:37	21
14	Dibba Al Fujairah	26	5	5	16	25:55	20