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Al Nasr vs Sohar

Oman Oman

Professional League 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Owen A.

AI Match Summary

Sohar in this Professional League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sohar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Al Nasr
30%
Draws
31%
Sohar
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Al Nasr

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Al Nasr have won more games recently than Sohar.
  • Win probability leans Al Nasr's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Al Nasr Clean Sheet 68%
Sohar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Nasr Sohar
Matches Played 32 32
Wins 18 14
Draws 7 11
Losses 7 7
Goals Scored 1.31 1.16
Goals Conceded 0.88 0.81
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 27, 2026 Professional League
Al Nasr vs Sohar
0:1
Jan 11, 2026 Sultan Cup
Sohar vs Al Nasr
0:1
Jan 6, 2026 Professional League
Sohar vs Al Nasr
1:0
Jan 2, 2026 Sultan Cup
Al Nasr vs Sohar
0:0
Feb 2, 2025 Professional League
Sohar vs Al Nasr
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Nasr Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Sohar Compare

Top Goalscorer Owen A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Nasr 50 / 100
Sohar 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Nasr Sohar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Nasr Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Nasr scored in 75% of their last 32 games.

Al Nasr has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Sohar's defensive record shows goals conceded in 53% of 32 matches.

Games between these two average 1.20 goals.

Scoring Trends

Al Nasr VS Sohar
1.88 Goals Scored 1.5
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Nasr

(Home)
25 Sept
Fanja SC
3 : 1
Al Nasr
21 Sept
Al Nasr
2 : 2
Bahla
12 Sept
Al Nasr
2 : 0
Al-Msnaa
06 Sept
Dhofar
1 : 2
Al Nasr
30 Aug
Al Nasr
2 : 0
Fanja SC
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Sohar

(Away)
24 Sept
Sohar
1 : 3
Al Seeb
11 Sept
Sohar
0 : 0
Dhofar
06 Sept
Fanja SC
0 : 1
Sohar
31 Aug
Sohar
0 : 0
Ibri
25 Aug
Ibri
1 : 3
Sohar
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Seeb 26 21 4 1 59:14 67
2 Al-Shabab 26 17 3 6 51:27 54
3 Al Nasr 26 16 5 5 35:20 53
4 Al Nahda 26 13 5 8 31:23 44
5 Bahla 26 12 4 10 39:32 40
6 Oman Club 26 11 6 9 27:28 39
7 Sohar 26 10 8 8 35:28 38
8 Sur Club 26 8 8 10 34:37 32
9 Dhofar 26 7 6 13 23:30 27
10 Al-Samail 26 6 8 12 25:39 26
11 Saham 26 7 5 14 22:44 26
12 Ibri 26 7 2 17 27:52 23
13 Al Khaboora 26 4 10 12 23:35 22
14 Al-Rustaq 26 3 6 17 24:46 15
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