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Al Nasr vs Wefaq Ajdabiya - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Libya Libya

Premier League Martyrs of February Stadium, Benghazi
Thu, Oct 22, 2026
VS
04:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Al Nasr host Wefaq Ajdabiya in the Premier League. Don't expect fireworks — both sides lean defensive. Al Nasr have averaged 1.59 scored and 0.9 conceded recently, against Wefaq Ajdabiya's 0.72 scored and 0.97 conceded. Past meetings favor Al Nasr slightly — 2-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 11, 2026, ending 2:1. The numbers (1.06 xG vs 0.76) point toward Al Nasr. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Al Nasr
15%
Draws
39%
Wefaq Ajdabiya
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Al Nasr

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Al Nasr come out ahead of Wefaq Ajdabiya on wins alone.
  • Model gives Al Nasr a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Al Nasr Clean Sheet 20%
Wefaq Ajdabiya Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Nasr Wefaq Ajdabiya
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 16 9
Draws 8 8
Losses 5 12
Goals Scored 1.59 0.72
Goals Conceded 0.9 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 0.76
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 Premier League
Wefaq Ajdabiya vs Al Nasr
2:1
Jan 22, 2026 Premier League
Al Nasr vs Wefaq Ajdabiya
4:1
Feb 5, 2025 Premier League
Al Nasr vs Wefaq Ajdabiya
0:0
Dec 11, 2024 Premier League
Wefaq Ajdabiya vs Al Nasr
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Nasr 42 / 100
Wefaq Ajdabiya 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Nasr Wefaq Ajdabiya

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Nasr's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.25 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Al Nasr remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Wefaq Ajdabiya's defensive record shows goals conceded in 59% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Al Nasr VS Wefaq Ajdabiya
1.5 Goals Scored 0.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 25%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Nasr

(Home)
06 Jun
Asswehly
2 : 1
Al Nasr
23 May
Al Nasr
2 : 1
Military Union
19 May
Al Nasr
1 : 0
Al Ahly Benghazi
15 May
Al Afreeki
1 : 2
Al Nasr
11 May
Al Hilal Benghazi
2 : 3
Al Nasr
Page 1 of 6

Wefaq Ajdabiya

(Away)
14 Oct
Wefaq Ajdabiya
0 : 0
Al Akhdar
22 Apr
Wefaq Ajdabiya
1 : 0
Khaleej Sirte
16 Apr
Al Tahaddi
1 : 0
Wefaq Ajdabiya
11 Apr
Wefaq Ajdabiya
2 : 1
Al Nasr
12 Mar
Al Murooj SC
0 : 1
Wefaq Ajdabiya
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Madina 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
2 Al Ittihad Misurata 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
3 Olympic Azzaweya 1 1 0 0 3:2 3
4 Al Ittihad 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
5 Al Malaab El Libby 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
6 Al Ahly Tripoli 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
7 Asswehly 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
8 Al Khmes 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
9 Al Bashaer 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
10 Assabah 1 0 0 1 2:3 0
11 Al Majd 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
12 Al Shomooa 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
13 Shabab Al Ghar 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
14 Al Watan 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
Promotion - Premier League (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Afreeki 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
2 Al Akhdar 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
3 Al Hilal Benghazi 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
4 Darnes 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
5 Al Taawun 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
6 Al Sadaqa 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
7 Wefaq Ajdabiya 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
8 Al Ahly Benghazi 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
9 Al Nasr 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
10 Al Tahaddi 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
11 Military Union 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
12 Al Jadida 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
13 Al Batnan 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
14 Al Sharara 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
Promotion - Premier League (Play Offs)