Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Al Nassr vs Al Taawon

Saudi Arabia Saudi Arabia

Saudi Professional League King Saud University Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

4'
Simakan M.
10'
Al Nasser S.
31'
Al Mufarrij M.

AI Match Summary

The Saudi Professional League game between Al Nassr and Al Taawon finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al Nassr.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Al Nassr
22%
Draws
18%
Al Taawon
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Al Nassr

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Al Nassr come out ahead of Al Taawon on wins alone.
  • 60% — that's where the model lands on Al Nassr taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Al Nassr Clean Sheet 20%
Al Taawon Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Nassr Al Taawon
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 22 11
Draws 2 8
Losses 5 11
Goals Scored 3.13 1.5
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 3.13 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 26, 2026 Saudi Professional League
Al Nassr vs Al Taawon
1:0
Aug 29, 2025 Saudi Professional League
Al Taawon vs Al Nassr
0:5
May 16, 2025 Saudi Professional League
Al Nassr vs Al Taawon
1:1
Jan 17, 2025 Saudi Professional League
Al Taawon vs Al Nassr
1:1
Oct 29, 2024 King Cup
Al Nassr vs Al Taawon
0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Nassr 58 / 100
Al Taawon 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Nassr Al Taawon

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NAS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Nassr found the back of the net in 97% of recent matches (29 games).

Al Taawon's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Al Nassr has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Al Nassr VS Al Taawon
3.13 Goals Scored 1.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al Nassr34282491:2886
2Al Hilal34259085:2784
3Al Ahli SC34256371:2581
4Al Qadsiah34238383:3477
5Al Ittihad341671155:4855
6Al Taawon341581159:4653
7Al Ettifaq FC341481251:5550
8Neom SC341291343:4845
9Al Hazem Rass341191438:5742
10Al Fayha341081641:5438
11Al Fateh349101541:5537
12Al Khaleej341071754:6237
13Al Shabab348111544:5735
14Al Kholood34961939:6133
15Al Riyadh34791835:6330
16Damac346111732:5529
17Al Okhdood34552427:7020
18Al Najma34372432:7616