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Al Nassr W vs Al Ahli SC W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Saudi Arabia Saudi Arabia

Super Cup Women King Fahd Sports City, Ta’if
Al Nassr W Logo

Al Nassr W

5 - 2
FT
Al Ahli SC W Logo

Al Ahli SC W

Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Bahlouli N.
29' Event
Bahlouli N.
38' Event
Faria A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 5-2. This leg finished 5-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Al Nassr W
15%
Draws
21%
Al Ahli SC W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Al Nassr W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Al Nassr W lately — more wins on the board than Al Ahli SC W.
  • Win probability leans Al Nassr W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Al Nassr W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Al Nassr W, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Al Nassr W have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
Al Nassr W Clean Sheet 12%
Al Ahli SC W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Nassr W Al Ahli SC W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 23 16
Draws 2 5
Losses 5 9
Goals Scored 3.7 3.33
Goals Conceded 1.07 2.17
Expected Goals (xG) 3.19 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 2, 2026 Premier League Women
Al Ahli SC W vs Al Nassr W
0:5
Sep 1, 2026 Super Cup Women
Al Nassr W vs Al Ahli SC W
5:2
Feb 20, 2026 Premier League Women
Al Nassr W vs Al Ahli SC W
1:2
Oct 3, 2025 Premier League Women
Al Ahli SC W vs Al Nassr W
1:5
Mar 14, 2025 Premier League Women
Al Nassr W vs Al Ahli SC W
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Nassr W Compare

Top Goalscorer Bahlouli N.
4 Goals
Assists Leader Faria A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.45
Avg xA / game 1.59

Al Ahli SC W Compare

Top Goalscorer Nawfawi L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Nassr W 83 / 100
Al Ahli SC W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Nassr W Al Ahli SC W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Nassr W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Nassr W's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Al Ahli SC W has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Al Nassr W remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Al Nassr W VS Al Ahli SC W
3.88 Goals Scored 2.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Nassr W

(Home)
02 Oct
Al Ahli SC W
0 : 5
Al Nassr W
25 Sept
Al Nassr W
3 : 1
Al Ula W
19 Sept
Al Ittihad W
4 : 2
Al Nassr W
10 Sept
Al Nassr W
3 : 0
Neom SC W
05 Sept
Al Nassr W
4 : 1
Al Hilal W
Page 1 of 6

Al Ahli SC W

(Away)
02 Oct
Al Ahli SC W
0 : 5
Al Nassr W
24 Sept
Neom SC W
1 : 1
Al Ahli SC W
18 Sept
Al Ahli SC W
0 : 9
Al Hilal W
11 Sept
Al Taraji W
1 : 5
Al Ahli SC W
01 Sept
Al Nassr W
5 : 2
Al Ahli SC W
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Al Nassr W 5
Al Ahli SC W 2
Al Hilal W 2
Al Ittihad W 1
Final
Al Nassr W 4
Al Hilal W 1