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Al Nassr W vs Al Ahli SC W

Saudi Arabia Saudi Arabia

Premier League Women
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Premier League Women game between Al Nassr W and Al Ahli SC W finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al Ahli SC W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Al Nassr W
20%
Draws
38%
Al Ahli SC W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Al Nassr W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Al Nassr W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Al Nassr W are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 93%).
  • History favors Al Nassr W here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 93%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Al Nassr W Clean Sheet 10%
Al Ahli SC W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Nassr W Al Ahli SC W
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 27 19
Draws 0 4
Losses 4 7
Goals Scored 3.88 2.88
Goals Conceded 1 2
Expected Goals (xG) 3.88 2.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 20, 2026 Premier League Women
Al Nassr W vs Al Ahli SC W
1:2
Oct 3, 2025 Premier League Women
Al Ahli SC W vs Al Nassr W
1:5
Mar 14, 2025 Premier League Women
Al Nassr W vs Al Ahli SC W
3:1
Dec 13, 2024 Premier League Women
Al Ahli SC W vs Al Nassr W
2:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Nassr W 40 / 100
Al Ahli SC W 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Nassr W Al Ahli SC W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Nassr W's goal record stands at 94% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 4.75 goals when they meet.

Al Ahli SC W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Solid form: Al Nassr W remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Al Nassr W VS Al Ahli SC W
3.88 Goals Scored 2.88
1 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 88%
75% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Nassr W

(Home)
24 Apr
Al Nassr W
5 : 1
Al-Ula W
03 Apr
Neom SC W
0 : 2
Al Nassr W
26 Mar
Al Hilal W
1 : 4
Al Nassr W
20 Feb
Al Nassr W
1 : 2
Al Ahli SC W
14 Feb
Al Ittihad W
0 : 4
Al Nassr W
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Al Ahli SC W

(Away)
23 Apr
Al Qadisiya W
2 : 2
Al Ahli SC W
03 Apr
Al Ahli SC W
1 : 0
Al Ittihad W
27 Mar
Al-Ula W
1 : 8
Al Ahli SC W
20 Feb
Al Nassr W
1 : 2
Al Ahli SC W
13 Feb
Al Ahli SC W
6 : 1
Eastern Flames W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al Nassr W14130155:1239
2Al Ahli SC W1483346:2727
3Al Ittihad W1482424:2126
4Al Qadisiya W1472555:2523
5Al Hilal W1472531:2723
6Al-Ula W1442816:4114
7Neom SC W1413109:356
8Eastern Flames W14101311:593
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