Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Al Okhdood vs Al Khaleej

Saudi Arabia Saudi Arabia

King Cup Prince Hathloul bin Abdul Aziz Sports City, Najran
Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
Rui Pedro
(Penalty)
41'
Mboge A.
46'
Sub
Diogo W. In: Al Khathami A.
Out: Diogo W.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-0. This leg finished 2-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Al Okhdood
35%
Draws
22%
Al Khaleej
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Al Okhdood

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Al Okhdood lately — more wins on the board than Al Khaleej.
  • Al Okhdood are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Al Okhdood have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Al Okhdood, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Al Okhdood Clean Sheet 20%
Al Khaleej Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Okhdood Al Khaleej
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 6 5
Draws 6 11
Losses 18 15
Goals Scored 0.9 1
Goals Conceded 1.87 1.84
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 18, 2026 King Cup
Al Okhdood vs Al Khaleej
2:0
May 16, 2026 Saudi Professional League
Al Okhdood vs Al Khaleej
3:1
Jan 16, 2026 Saudi Professional League
Al Khaleej vs Al Okhdood
4:1
May 26, 2025 Saudi Professional League
Al Khaleej vs Al Okhdood
2:3
Jan 26, 2025 Saudi Professional League
Al Okhdood vs Al Khaleej
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Okhdood Compare

Top Goalscorer Rui Pedro
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Al Khaleej Compare

Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Okhdood 85 / 100
Al Khaleej 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Okhdood Al Khaleej

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Okhdood Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Khaleej has conceded goals in 84% of their last 31 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

Al Okhdood went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Al Okhdood scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Al Okhdood VS Al Khaleej
1.25 Goals Scored 0.63
0.63 Goals Conceded 2.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Okhdood

(Home)
14 Sept
Al Wehda
4 : 2
Al Okhdood
07 Sept
Al Okhdood
2 : 2
Al Najma
31 Aug
Al Saqer
0 : 0
Al Okhdood
26 Aug
Al Bukiryah
1 : 1
Al Okhdood
22 Aug
Al Taee
0 : 2
Al Okhdood
Page 1 of 6

Al Khaleej

(Away)
12 Sept
Al Khaleej
1 : 1
Al Nassr
07 Sept
Al Khaleej
0 : 0
Al Riyadh
03 Sept
Neom SC
3 : 0
Al Khaleej
28 Aug
Al Khaleej
1 : 5
Al Hilal
25 Aug
Abha
1 : 1
Al Khaleej
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Al Raed 0
Al Hilal 2
Al Bukiryah 2
Al Hazem Rass 3
Al Orubah 1
Abha 0
Al Okhdood 2
Al Khaleej 0
Al-Ula 3
Al Fateh 0
Al Anwar 1
Al Ahli SC 2
Al Zulfi 0
Al Riyadh 2
Al Adalah 0
Al Fayha 2
Al Jabalain 1
Al Ettifaq FC 0
Al Najma 0
Al Ittihad 3
Al Diriyah 1
Al Nassr 4
Jeddah Club 0
Al Kholood 5
Damac 0
Al Taawon 3
Al Wehda 3
Al Shabab 2
Al Taee 0
Al Qadsiah 5
Al-Faisaly 1
Neom SC 3
1/8-finals
Al Hilal -
Al Hazem Rass -
Al Orubah -
Al Okhdood -
Al-Ula -
Al Ahli SC -
Al Riyadh -
Al Fayha -
Al Jabalain -
Al Ittihad -
Al Nassr -
Al Kholood -
Al Taawon -
Al Wehda -
Al Qadsiah -
Neom SC -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -