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Al Orubah vs Abha Prediction & H2H Stats

Saudi Arabia Saudi Arabia

King Cup Al-Jouf University Stadium, Sakakah
Sun, Aug 16, 2026
1 - 0
04:40 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

20'
Al Maqati H.
46'
Sub
Diallo A. In: Al Fahad A.
Out: Diallo A.
46'
Sub
Al-Zaid M. In: Boumedmed K.
Out: Al-Zaid M.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-0. This leg finished 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Al Orubah
35%
Draws
14%
Abha
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Al Orubah

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Al Orubah lately — more wins on the board than Abha.
  • Model gives Al Orubah a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Al Orubah have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Al Orubah, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Al Orubah Clean Sheet 20%
Abha Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Orubah Abha
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 15 14
Draws 6 5
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.42 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 King Cup
Al Orubah vs Abha
1:0
Feb 3, 2026 Division 1
Al Orubah vs Abha
1:2
Sep 28, 2025 Division 1
Abha vs Al Orubah
2:3
Mar 27, 2019 Division 1
Abha vs Al Orubah
1:1
Nov 7, 2018 Division 1
Al Orubah vs Abha
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Orubah 85 / 100
Abha 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Orubah Abha

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Orubah Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Abha conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Al Orubah has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Al Orubah found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (31 games).

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Al Orubah VS Abha
1.13 Goals Scored 0.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Orubah

(Home)
20 Sept
Al Jabalain
0 : 0
Al Orubah
15 Sept
Al Orubah
1 : 0
Al Jeel
09 Sept
Jeddah Club
2 : 2
Al Orubah
01 Sept
Al Orubah
1 : 1
Al Zulfi
28 Aug
Damac
0 : 0
Al Orubah
Page 1 of 7

Abha

(Away)
13 Sept
Al Diriyah
0 : 0
Abha
09 Sept
Al Nassr
2 : 1
Abha
04 Sept
Abha
0 : 1
Al Ettifaq FC
28 Aug
Al Fayha
3 : 2
Abha
25 Aug
Abha
1 : 1
Al Khaleej
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Al Raed 0
Al Hilal 2
Al Bukiryah 2
Al Hazem Rass 3
Al Orubah 1
Abha 0
Al Okhdood 2
Al Khaleej 0
Al-Ula 3
Al Fateh 0
Al Anwar 1
Al Ahli SC 2
Al Zulfi 0
Al Riyadh 2
Al Adalah 0
Al Fayha 2
Al Jabalain 1
Al Ettifaq FC 0
Al Najma 0
Al Ittihad 3
Al Diriyah 1
Al Nassr 4
Jeddah Club 0
Al Kholood 5
Damac 0
Al Taawon 3
Al Wehda 3
Al Shabab 2
Al Taee 0
Al Qadsiah 5
Al-Faisaly 1
Neom SC 3
1/8-finals
Al Hilal -
Al Hazem Rass -
Al Orubah -
Al Okhdood -
Al-Ula -
Al Ahli SC -
Al Riyadh -
Al Fayha -
Al Jabalain -
Al Ittihad -
Al Nassr -
Al Kholood -
Al Taawon -
Al Wehda -
Al Qadsiah -
Neom SC -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -