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Stadium Background

Al Qadisiya vs Sitra

Asia Asia

Gulf Club Champions League Mohammed Al Hamad Stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Al Qadisiya play Sitra in the Gulf Club Champions League. It looks like a close match. Recently, Al Qadisiya averaged 1.41 goals scored and 0.86 conceded. Sitra averaged 0.93 goals scored and 1.43 conceded. In past meetings, Al Qadisiya won 1, Sitra won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Dec 24, 2025 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.27 for Al Qadisiya and 1.16 for Sitra. This points to a Al Qadisiya double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Al Qadisiya
23%
Draws
27%
Sitra
Draw rate projection: 23% Favored: Al Qadisiya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / High Confidence
  • Al Qadisiya picked up more points recently compared to Sitra.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.27 vs 1.16 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 43%
Over 3.5 Goals 26%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38%
Al Qadisiya Clean Sheet 21%
Sitra Clean Sheet 11%
First Half Goal 62%
Second Half Goal 66%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Qadisiya Sitra
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 16 8
Draws 6 8
Losses 7 14
Goals Scored 1.41 0.93
Goals Conceded 0.86 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.29

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 24, 2025 Gulf Club Champions League
Al Qadisiya vs Sitra
2:1
Nov 4, 2025 Gulf Club Champions League
Sitra vs Al Qadisiya
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Qadisiya Compare

Top Goalscorer Kebano N.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sitra Compare

Top Goalscorer Al Haj O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.79

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Qadisiya 49 / 100
Sitra 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Qadisiya Sitra

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Al Qadisiya or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +19%
2.38
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +16.1%
2.70
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Al Qadisiya attacking → ← attacking Sitra

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Qadisiya scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Sitra let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Al Qadisiya went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Sitra lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

European tournament. Big stakes for both clubs, so expect a tense, high-pressure match.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

54 Points in last 5 32
1.25 Goals expected (xG) 1.43
0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.29

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Zakho64119:413
2Al Qadisiya63125:510
3Al Ain63036:59
4Sitra60244:102
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Al Rayyan633015:512
2Al Shabab614118:77
3Al Nahda61416:77
4Tadamone Hadramout61143:234