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Al Qadsiah vs Al-Faisaly Prediction & H2H Stats

Saudi Arabia Saudi Arabia

Saudi Professional League Prince Saud bin Jalawi Stadium, Dammam
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Match Events

5' Event
Retegui M.
Assist: Al Juwayr M.
12' Event
Seck A.
Assist: Andrei Girotto
16'
Al Shanqiti M.

AI Match Summary

The Saudi Professional League game between Al Qadsiah and Al-Faisaly finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al Qadsiah.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Al Qadsiah
35%
Draws
12%
Al-Faisaly
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Al Qadsiah

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Al Qadsiah carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Al Qadsiah's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Al Qadsiah Clean Sheet 20%
Al-Faisaly Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Qadsiah Al-Faisaly
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 20 17
Draws 7 5
Losses 3 7
Goals Scored 2.43 2.17
Goals Conceded 1 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Saudi Professional League
Al Qadsiah vs Al-Faisaly
3:1
Feb 27, 2024 Division 1
Al Qadsiah vs Al-Faisaly
2:1
Sep 19, 2023 Division 1
Al-Faisaly vs Al Qadsiah
0:1
May 10, 2023 Division 1
Al-Faisaly vs Al Qadsiah
1:0
Dec 26, 2022 Division 1
Al Qadsiah vs Al-Faisaly
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Qadsiah Compare

Top Goalscorer Retegui M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Abu Al Shamat M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Al-Faisaly Compare

Top Goalscorer Seck A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Qadsiah 85 / 100
Al-Faisaly 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Qadsiah Al-Faisaly

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Qadsiah Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 5:4
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Qadsiah scored in 90% of their last 30 games.

Solid form: Al Qadsiah remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Al-Faisaly has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Al Qadsiah VS Al-Faisaly
2.25 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Qadsiah

(Home)
14 Sept
Al Qadsiah
2 : 1
Al Wasl
11 Sept
Al Qadsiah
3 : 3
Al Ettifaq FC
08 Sept
Al Qadsiah
3 : 2
Al Ahli SC
03 Sept
Al Diriyah
0 : 2
Al Qadsiah
30 Aug
Al Qadsiah
3 : 1
Al-Faisaly
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Al-Faisaly

(Away)
11 Sept
Al-Faisaly
1 : 3
Al Ittihad
08 Sept
Al Ettifaq FC
0 : 0
Al-Faisaly
05 Sept
Al-Faisaly
0 : 0
Al Hazem Rass
30 Aug
Al Qadsiah
3 : 1
Al-Faisaly
26 Aug
Al-Faisaly
1 : 1
Al Fateh
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Hilal 7 6 0 1 23:5 18
2 Al Ittihad 7 5 2 0 12:6 17
3 Al Nassr 7 5 1 1 16:7 16
4 Al Qadsiah 7 5 1 1 16:8 16
5 Neom SC 7 5 0 2 13:6 15
6 Al Ahli SC 7 4 0 3 16:10 12
7 Al Kholood 7 3 3 1 12:10 12
8 Al Diriyah 7 3 2 2 7:5 11
9 Al Ettifaq FC 7 3 2 2 11:11 11
10 Al Hazem Rass 7 2 2 3 7:9 8
11 Al Riyadh 7 2 2 3 8:16 8
12 Al Fayha 7 1 3 3 7:11 6
13 Al Khaleej 7 0 5 2 3:10 5
14 Al Shabab 7 0 4 3 6:11 4
15 Al Fateh 7 0 3 4 4:11 3
16 Al-Faisaly 7 0 3 4 5:13 3
17 Al Taawon 7 0 3 4 3:12 3
18 Abha 7 0 2 5 5:13 2
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Gulf Club Champions League 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Division 1 2027/2028 (Main)