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Al Qadsiah vs Al Wasl Prediction & H2H Stats

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AFC Champions League Prince Saud bin Jalawi Stadium, Dammam
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Match Events

30'
Alvarez G.
45'
Quinones J.
46'
Sub
Al Ammar T. In: Bonsu Baah C.
Out: Al Ammar T.

AI Match Summary

Al Qadsiah in this AFC Champions League matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Al Qadsiah.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Al Qadsiah
20%
Draws
28%
Al Wasl
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Al Qadsiah

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Al Qadsiah lately — more wins on the board than Al Wasl.
  • Win probability leans Al Qadsiah's way, sitting at 60%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this AFC Champions League fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Al Qadsiah Clean Sheet 14%
Al Wasl Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Qadsiah Al Wasl
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 20 15
Draws 7 5
Losses 3 10
Goals Scored 2.33 1.9
Goals Conceded 1 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 14, 2026 AFC Champions League
Al Qadsiah vs Al Wasl
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Qadsiah Compare

Top Goalscorer Quinones J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Retegui M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Al Wasl Compare

Top Goalscorer Spadacio L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Qadsiah 57 / 100
Al Wasl 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Qadsiah Al Wasl

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Qadsiah Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 5:4
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Qadsiah scored in 90% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Al Wasl conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Al Qadsiah stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Al Qadsiah VS Al Wasl
2.25 Goals Scored 2.63
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Qadsiah

(Home)
14 Sept
Al Qadsiah
2 : 1
Al Wasl
11 Sept
Al Qadsiah
3 : 3
Al Ettifaq FC
08 Sept
Al Qadsiah
3 : 2
Al Ahli SC
03 Sept
Al Diriyah
0 : 2
Al Qadsiah
30 Aug
Al Qadsiah
3 : 1
Al-Faisaly
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Al Wasl

(Away)
19 Sept
Al Wasl
3 : 2
Al Ain
14 Sept
Al Qadsiah
2 : 1
Al Wasl
10 Sept
Al Ain
2 : 2
Al Wasl
04 Sept
Al Wasl
5 : 2
Khorfakkan
28 Aug
Al Wasl
0 : 1
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kashima Antlers 1 1 0 0 7:1 3
2 Gamba Osaka 1 1 0 0 4:1 3
3 Shanghai Port 1 1 0 0 6:4 3
4 Beijing Guoan 1 1 0 0 3:1 3
5 Vissel Kobe 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
6 Jeonbuk 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
7 Daejeon 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
8 Buriram United F.C. 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
9 Johor DT 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
10 Kashiwa Reysol 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
11 Port MTI FC 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
12 Kyoto 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
13 Ratchaburi 1 0 0 1 4:6 0
14 Pohang 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
15 Cong An Ha Noi 1 0 0 1 1:4 0
16 Newcastle Jets 1 0 0 1 1:7 0
Promotion - AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Ain 1 1 0 0 4:0 3
2 Esteghlal TEH 1 1 0 0 3:0 3
3 Al Hilal 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
4 Al Qadsiah 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
5 Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
6 Neftchi Fargona 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
7 Pakhtakor 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
8 Al Ittihad 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
9 Al Ahli SC 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
10 Shamal 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
11 Al-Gharafa 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
12 Al Wasl 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
13 Al Quwa Al Jawiya 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
14 Tractor 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
15 Al-Sadd 1 0 0 1 0:3 0
16 Al Nassr 1 0 0 1 0:4 0
Promotion - AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)