Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Al-Qassim vs Al Wasat

Iraq Iraq

Stars League 2023/2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Al-Qassim play Al Wasat in the Stars League 2023/2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Al-Qassim averaged 0.72 goals scored and 2.66 conceded. Al Wasat averaged 0.73 goals scored and 1.9 conceded. In past meetings, Al-Qassim won 1, Al Wasat won 0, and they drew 4. Their last match on Jun 26, 2024 ended 2:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for Al-Qassim and 1.00 for Al Wasat. This points to a Al Wasat double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Al-Qassim
40%
Draws
30%
Al Wasat
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Al Wasat

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / Medium Confidence
  • Al-Qassim picked up more points recently compared to Al Wasat.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.20 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 58%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%
Over 2.5 Goals 58%
Over 3.5 Goals 35%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 52%
Al-Qassim Clean Sheet 23%
Al Wasat Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 78%
Second Half Goal 83%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al-Qassim Al Wasat
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 0 1
Draws 7 9
Losses 25 20
Goals Scored 0.72 0.73
Goals Conceded 2.66 1.9

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 26, 2024 Stars League
Al-Qassim vs Al Wasat
2:2
Mar 4, 2024 Stars League
Al Wasat vs Al-Qassim
1:1
Jul 16, 2023 Stars League
Al-Qassim vs Al Wasat
2:1
Feb 23, 2023 Stars League
Al Wasat vs Al-Qassim
1:1
Jun 29, 2022 Stars League
Al-Qassim vs Al Wasat
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al-Qassim Compare

Top Goalscorer Kassad M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rashed S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.1
Avg xA / game 0.07

Al Wasat Compare

Top Goalscorer Muhsen S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Abdulwahid H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al-Qassim 32 / 100
Al Wasat 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al-Qassim Al Wasat

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Al Wasat or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +36.5%
4.55
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.4%
1.92
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Al-Qassim attacking → ← attacking Al Wasat

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al-Qassim scored in 75% of their last 32 games.

Al Wasat let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Al-Qassim went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Al Wasat lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

7 Points in last 5 12
0.13 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
2.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Al Shorta38269376:3687
2Al Quwa Al Jawiya382410468:3282
3Al Zawraa382112554:2375
4Al Najaf381910945:2867
5Zakho381716537:2067
6Duhok381416841:3358
7Newroz3815111261:4956
8Al Talaba3813141140:3853
9Al-Hudod3813111438:4750
10Naft Missan3810171141:4047
11Al Naft3810161237:4446
12Al Minaa3810121638:5942
13Al Kahraba388171347:5141
14Erbil389141546:5041
15Al Karkh387181336:4539
16Karbala388131739:6037
17Al-Qassim388141642:5335
18Naft Al-Basra388102029:4634
19Baghdad386131933:5331
20Al Wasat381132424:6516