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Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Al Ain - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Asia Asia

AFC Champions League Basra International Stadium, Basra
Mon, Oct 12, 2026
VS
06:15 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Al Quwa Al Jawiya host Al Ain in the AFC Champions League. Little to choose between these two on current form. Al Ain have shipped 0.93 goals a game lately, while Al Quwa Al Jawiya have conceded 1.11 and scored 1.75. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. xG projections (1.19 - 1.75) back Al Ain to edge this. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
30%
Draws
29%
Al Ain
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Al Quwa Al Jawiya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Al Ain lately — more wins on the board than Al Quwa Al Jawiya.
  • Win probability leans Al Quwa Al Jawiya's way, sitting at 42%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this AFC Champions League fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Al Quwa Al Jawiya Clean Sheet 12%
Al Ain Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Quwa Al Jawiya Al Ain
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 15 19
Draws 9 5
Losses 4 5
Goals Scored 1.75 2.24
Goals Conceded 1.11 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Quwa Al Jawiya 40 / 100
Al Ain 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Quwa Al Jawiya Al Ain

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Al Quwa Al Jawiya scored in 86% of their last 28 outings.

Al Quwa Al Jawiya has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Al Ain has conceded goals in 55% of their last 29 outings.

Al Ain's recent record shows 2 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Al Quwa Al Jawiya VS Al Ain
1 Goals Scored 2.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Quwa Al Jawiya

(Home)
07 Oct
Al Mosul
0 : 3
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
19 Sept
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
1 : 1
Diyala
14 Sept
Neftchi Fargona
1 : 0
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
10 Sept
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
0 : 1
Al Zawraa
07 Sept
Karbala
2 : 3
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
Page 1 of 6

Al Ain

(Away)
08 Oct
Al Ain
2 : 2
Ittihad Kalba
02 Oct
Al Ain
2 : 3
Ajman
19 Sept
Al Wasl
3 : 2
Al Ain
15 Sept
Al Ain
4 : 0
Al Nassr
10 Sept
Al Ain
2 : 2
Al Wasl
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kashima Antlers 1 1 0 0 7:1 3
2 Gamba Osaka 1 1 0 0 4:1 3
3 Shanghai Port 1 1 0 0 6:4 3
4 Beijing Guoan 1 1 0 0 3:1 3
5 Vissel Kobe 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
6 Jeonbuk 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
7 Daejeon 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
8 Buriram United F.C. 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
9 Johor DT 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
10 Kashiwa Reysol 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
11 Port MTI FC 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
12 Kyoto 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
13 Ratchaburi 1 0 0 1 4:6 0
14 Pohang 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
15 Cong An Ha Noi 1 0 0 1 1:4 0
16 Newcastle Jets 1 0 0 1 1:7 0
Promotion - AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Ain 1 1 0 0 4:0 3
2 Esteghlal TEH 1 1 0 0 3:0 3
3 Al Hilal 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
4 Al Qadsiah 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
5 Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
6 Neftchi Fargona 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
7 Pakhtakor 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
8 Al Ittihad 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
9 Al Ahli SC 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
10 Shamal 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
11 Al Gharafa 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
12 Al Wasl 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
13 Al Quwa Al Jawiya 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
14 Tractor 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
15 Al Sadd 1 0 0 1 0:3 0
16 Al Nassr 1 0 0 1 0:4 0
Promotion - AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)