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Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Al Karkh - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Iraq Iraq

Stars League
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Salim A. F.

AI Match Summary

The Stars League game between Al Quwa Al Jawiya and Al Karkh finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al Karkh.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
30%
Draws
39%
Al Karkh
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Al Karkh

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Al Karkh haven't matched Al Quwa Al Jawiya's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Al Quwa Al Jawiya Clean Sheet 16%
Al Karkh Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Quwa Al Jawiya Al Karkh
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 14 9
Draws 10 9
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 1.53 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.16 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 7, 2026 Stars League
Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Al Karkh
0:1
Mar 26, 2026 Stars League
Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Al Karkh
1:0
Sep 15, 2025 Stars League
Al Karkh vs Al Quwa Al Jawiya
0:1
Mar 14, 2025 Stars League
Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Al Karkh
0:1
Oct 30, 2024 Stars League
Al Karkh vs Al Quwa Al Jawiya
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Quwa Al Jawiya Compare

Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Al Karkh Compare

Top Goalscorer Salim A. F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Quwa Al Jawiya 31 / 100
Al Karkh 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Quwa Al Jawiya Al Karkh

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Karkh has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Al Quwa Al Jawiya's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.20 goals.

Al Quwa Al Jawiya has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Al Quwa Al Jawiya VS Al Karkh
1 Goals Scored 1.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.88
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Quwa Al Jawiya

(Home)
07 Nov
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
0 : 1
Al Karkh
02 Nov
Al Wasl
4 : 3
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
29 Oct
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
0 : 0
Al Minaa
26 Oct
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
1 : 0
Pakhtakor
22 Oct
Al Talaba
1 : 0
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
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Al Karkh

(Away)
07 Nov
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
0 : 1
Al Karkh
31 Oct
Al Karkh
1 : 2
Al Gharraf
23 Oct
Al Karkh
1 : 1
Al Mosul
18 Oct
Al Shorta
1 : 1
Al Karkh
10 Oct
Al Karma
3 : 2
Al Karkh
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Karma 13 9 3 1 23:10 30
2 Newroz 13 7 5 1 18:5 26
3 Al Naft 13 7 4 2 15:7 25
4 Al Shorta 13 6 6 1 15:7 24
5 Al Golan 13 6 5 2 19:12 23
6 Al Zawraa 13 6 3 4 17:12 21
7 Erbil 13 5 5 3 16:9 20
8 Duhok 13 4 6 3 20:16 18
9 Al Minaa 13 4 5 4 12:13 17
10 Ghaz Al Shamal 13 3 7 3 9:10 16
11 Al Talaba 13 3 7 3 15:18 16
12 Diyala 13 3 5 5 15:18 14
13 Al Gharraf 13 3 5 5 9:15 14
14 Al Quwa Al Jawiya 13 2 7 4 14:14 13
15 Zakho 13 3 4 6 10:17 13
16 Al Karkh 13 3 3 7 16:21 12
17 Al Mosul 13 3 3 7 13:21 12
18 Al Kahraba 13 2 5 6 9:15 11
19 Naft Missan 13 1 6 6 8:19 9
20 Karbala 13 1 4 8 11:25 7
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Relegation - Stars League (Relegation)