Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Al Mosul

Iraq Iraq

Stars League
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Al Dali A.
87' Event
Kadhim H.
Own Goal
90' Event
Ngah C.
Penalty Missed

AI Match Summary

Al Quwa Al Jawiya in this Stars League matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Al Quwa Al Jawiya.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
39%
Draws
31%
Al Mosul
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Al Quwa Al Jawiya have won more games recently than Al Mosul.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Stars League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Al Quwa Al Jawiya here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Al Quwa Al Jawiya Clean Sheet 68%
Al Mosul Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Quwa Al Jawiya Al Mosul
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 22 8
Draws 6 13
Losses 1 9
Goals Scored 1.5 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 6, 2026 Stars League
Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Al Mosul
2:1
Feb 1, 2026 Stars League
Al Mosul vs Al Quwa Al Jawiya
0:1
May 4, 2010 Stars League
Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Al Mosul
2:1
Jan 5, 2010 Stars League
Al Mosul vs Al Quwa Al Jawiya
0:1
Apr 15, 2005 Stars League
Al Mosul vs Al Quwa Al Jawiya
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Quwa Al Jawiya Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Al Mosul Compare

Top Goalscorer Al Dali A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Quwa Al Jawiya 41 / 100
Al Mosul 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Quwa Al Jawiya Al Mosul

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick QUW Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Quwa Al Jawiya scored in 90% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Al Mosul conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Al Quwa Al Jawiya stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al Quwa Al Jawiya VS Al Mosul
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Quwa Al Jawiya

(Home)
02 Jun
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
3 : 2
Zakho
28 May
Naft Missan
0 : 2
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
20 May
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
2 : 1
Al Zawraa
15 May
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
2 : 1
Al Talaba
10 May
Al-Karma
3 : 0
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
Page 1 of 6

Al Mosul

(Away)
01 Jun
Al Mosul
3 : 0
Al-Qassim
27 May
Newroz
1 : 1
Al Mosul
20 May
Al Minaa
1 : 0
Al Mosul
15 May
Al Mosul
3 : 3
Duhok
11 May
Al Mosul
2 : 2
Al Talaba
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al Quwa Al Jawiya38278362:2889
2Al Shorta38248669:3280
3Erbil382310559:3279
4Al Zawraa381715650:3266
5Al-Karma381714753:2665
6Al Talaba381811953:3865
7Al Karkh3816121051:4160
8Newroz381661648:4754
9Zakho3814111349:4553
10Duhok3813111444:4550
11Diyala3813101540:4249
12Al Naft3811151233:3448
13Al Mosul3811141346:4947
14Al Gharraf3811111640:4344
15Naft Missan3811101748:5743
16Al Minaa389131638:4740
17Al Kahraba371152144:5638
18Baghdad381072147:6837
19Al Najaf37652631:6823
20Al-Qassim38063221:966
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Relegation - Stars League (Relegation)