Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Al-Qassim

Iraq Iraq

Stars League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Al Quwa Al Jawiya play Al-Qassim in the Stars League. Al Quwa Al Jawiya are favorites here. Recently, Al Quwa Al Jawiya averaged 1.5 goals scored and 1.13 conceded. Al-Qassim averaged 1.63 goals scored and 2.5 conceded. In past meetings, Al Quwa Al Jawiya won 3, Al-Qassim won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 9, 2026 ended 5:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for Al Quwa Al Jawiya and 1.00 for Al-Qassim. This points to a Al Quwa Al Jawiya double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
6%
Draws
4%
Al-Qassim
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Al Quwa Al Jawiya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Al Quwa Al Jawiya has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Al-Qassim.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Al Quwa Al Jawiya.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Stars League provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Al Quwa Al Jawiya Clean Sheet 68%
Al-Qassim Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Quwa Al Jawiya Al-Qassim
Matches Played 31 32
Wins 24 1
Draws 6 6
Losses 1 25
Goals Scored 1.5 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.13 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 9, 2026 Stars League
Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Al-Qassim
5:0
Jan 22, 2026 Stars League
Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Al-Qassim
2:0
Apr 26, 2025 Stars League
Al-Qassim vs Al Quwa Al Jawiya
1:1
Feb 26, 2025 Iraq Cup
Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Al-Qassim
2:1
Jan 18, 2025 Stars League
Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Al-Qassim
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Quwa Al Jawiya Compare

Top Goalscorer Al-Subhi E.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Ramadhan W.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Al-Qassim Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Quwa Al Jawiya 95 / 100
Al-Qassim 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Quwa Al Jawiya Al-Qassim

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick QUW Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Quwa Al Jawiya scored in 90% of their last 31 games.

Al-Qassim let in goals in 75% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Al Quwa Al Jawiya went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Al-Qassim lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al Quwa Al Jawiya VS Al-Qassim
1.5 Goals Scored 1.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.5
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al Quwa Al Jawiya38278362:2889
2Al Shorta38248669:3280
3Erbil382310559:3279
4Al Zawraa381715650:3266
5Al-Karma381714753:2665
6Al Talaba381811953:3865
7Al Karkh3816121051:4160
8Newroz381661648:4754
9Zakho3814111349:4553
10Duhok3813111444:4550
11Diyala3813101540:4249
12Al Naft3811151233:3448
13Al Mosul3811141346:4947
14Al Gharraf3811111640:4344
15Naft Missan3811101748:5743
16Al Minaa389131638:4740
17Al Kahraba371152144:5638
18Baghdad381072147:6837
19Al Najaf37652631:6823
20Al-Qassim38063221:966