Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Baghdad

Iraq Iraq

Stars League
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Noor A.
Own Goal
26' Event
Abu Taha M.
34' Event
Umar A.

AI Match Summary

Al Quwa Al Jawiya host Baghdad in the Stars League. Al Quwa Al Jawiya go into this one as the clear favorite. Al Quwa Al Jawiya have averaged 1.5 scored and 1 conceded recently, against Baghdad's 1.38 scored and 2 conceded. Past meetings favor Al Quwa Al Jawiya slightly — 3-0-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 17, 2026, ending 3:1. xG projections (1.75 - 1.19) back Al Quwa Al Jawiya to edge this. Al Quwa Al Jawiya in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
11%
Draws
9%
Baghdad
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Al Quwa Al Jawiya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Al Quwa Al Jawiya has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Baghdad.
  • Model forecasts a 80% win probability edge for Al Quwa Al Jawiya.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Stars League provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Al Quwa Al Jawiya Clean Sheet 68%
Baghdad Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Quwa Al Jawiya Baghdad
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 22 5
Draws 6 7
Losses 1 18
Goals Scored 1.5 1.38
Goals Conceded 1 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 17, 2026 Stars League
Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Baghdad
3:1
Jan 13, 2026 Stars League
Baghdad vs Al Quwa Al Jawiya
0:2
Jun 26, 2024 Stars League
Baghdad vs Al Quwa Al Jawiya
0:2
Mar 9, 2024 Stars League
Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Baghdad
1:1
May 9, 2022 Stars League
Baghdad vs Al Quwa Al Jawiya
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Quwa Al Jawiya Compare

Top Goalscorer Abu Taha M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Umar A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Baghdad Compare

Top Goalscorer Talib H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Quwa Al Jawiya 86 / 100
Baghdad 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Quwa Al Jawiya Baghdad

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick QUW Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Quwa Al Jawiya scored in 90% of their last 29 games.

Baghdad let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Al Quwa Al Jawiya went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Baghdad lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al Quwa Al Jawiya VS Baghdad
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al Quwa Al Jawiya38278362:2889
2Al Shorta38248669:3280
3Erbil382310559:3279
4Al Zawraa381715650:3266
5Al-Karma381714753:2665
6Al Talaba381811953:3865
7Al Karkh3816121051:4160
8Newroz381661648:4754
9Zakho3814111349:4553
10Duhok3813111444:4550
11Diyala3813101540:4249
12Al Naft3811151233:3448
13Al Mosul3811141346:4947
14Al Gharraf3811111640:4344
15Naft Missan3811101748:5743
16Al Minaa389131638:4740
17Al Kahraba371152144:5638
18Baghdad381072147:6837
19Al Najaf37652631:6823
20Al-Qassim38063221:966