Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Naft Al-Basra

Iraq Iraq

Stars League 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Abdulnabi A.
44' Event
Tahseen Z.
89' Event
Ouro-Agoro I.

AI Match Summary

Al Quwa Al Jawiya in this Stars League 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Al Quwa Al Jawiya.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
17%
Draws
13%
Naft Al-Basra
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Al Quwa Al Jawiya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Al Quwa Al Jawiya have won more games recently than Naft Al-Basra.
  • Model gives Al Quwa Al Jawiya a 70% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Stars League 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Al Quwa Al Jawiya Clean Sheet 68%
Naft Al-Basra Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Quwa Al Jawiya Naft Al-Basra
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 23 5
Draws 6 9
Losses 1 16
Goals Scored 2.13 0
Goals Conceded 0.63 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 3, 2025 Stars League
Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Naft Al-Basra
2:1
Oct 6, 2024 Stars League
Naft Al-Basra vs Al Quwa Al Jawiya
1:2
Jun 19, 2024 Stars League
Naft Al-Basra vs Al Quwa Al Jawiya
2:3
Mar 1, 2024 Stars League
Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Naft Al-Basra
0:0
Jun 30, 2023 Stars League
Naft Al-Basra vs Al Quwa Al Jawiya
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Quwa Al Jawiya Compare

Top Goalscorer Abdulnabi A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tahseen Z.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Naft Al-Basra Compare

Top Goalscorer Ouro-Agoro I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Quwa Al Jawiya 77 / 100
Naft Al-Basra 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Quwa Al Jawiya Naft Al-Basra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick QUW Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Quwa Al Jawiya found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (30 games).

Naft Al-Basra let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Solid form: Al Quwa Al Jawiya remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Al Quwa Al Jawiya VS -
2.13 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Quwa Al Jawiya

(Home)
02 Jun
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
3 : 2
Zakho
28 May
Naft Missan
0 : 2
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
20 May
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
2 : 1
Al Zawraa
15 May
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
2 : 1
Al Talaba
10 May
Al-Karma
3 : 0
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
Page 1 of 6

Naft Al-Basra

(Away)
14 Jul
Baghdad
1 : 0
Naft Al-Basra
04 Jul
Naft Al-Basra
4 : 3
Erbil
27 Jun
Diyala
2 : 2
Naft Al-Basra
20 Jun
Naft Al-Basra
1 : 3
Al Shorta
14 Jun
Zakho
2 : 1
Naft Al-Basra
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al Shorta38269375:2387
2Al Zawraa38238756:2877
3Zakho382011757:2571
4Al Talaba381891140:2763
5Al Quwa Al Jawiya381791251:4360
6Al Naft381514932:2759
7Duhok381691347:4157
8Al-Karma3815111243:3556
9Newroz3814111346:4153
10Al-Qassim3813131243:4352
11Naft Missan381491542:4651
12Erbil381551849:6150
13Al Kahraba3812131339:4149
14Al Najaf3811131437:3646
15Al Karkh3812101640:4946
16Al Minaa3811101739:4443
17Diyala3810111731:5041
18Naft Al-Basra38892132:5733
19Al-Hudod38822837:7926
20Karbala384102426:6622
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2025/2026 (League phase)
Relegation - Stars League 2024/2025 (Relegation)