Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Al Rayyan vs Al Ahli

Qatar Qatar

QSL 2025/2026 Jassim Bin Hamad Stadium, Doha
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Exposito E.
36'
Rodrigo
45'
Amraoui A.

AI Match Summary

Al Rayyan in this QSL 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Al Rayyan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Al Rayyan
20%
Draws
40%
Al Ahli
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Al Rayyan have won more games recently than Al Ahli.
  • Win probability leans Al Rayyan's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular QSL 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Al Rayyan Clean Sheet 18%
Al Ahli Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Rayyan Al Ahli
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 20 12
Draws 6 6
Losses 6 13
Goals Scored 2.41 1.74
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.94
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 QSL
Al Rayyan vs Al Ahli
2:1
Sep 21, 2025 QSL
Al Ahli vs Al Rayyan
0:3
May 18, 2025 Emir Cup
Al Ahli vs Al Rayyan
0:3
Mar 29, 2025 QSL
Al Ahli vs Al Rayyan
1:0
Nov 10, 2024 QSL Cup
Al Ahli vs Al Rayyan
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Rayyan Compare

Top Goalscorer Mitrovic A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rodrigo
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Al Ahli Compare

Top Goalscorer Exposito E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Rayyan 76 / 100
Al Ahli 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Rayyan Al Ahli

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Rayyan Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Rayyan's goal record stands at 91% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Al Ahli has conceded goals in 90% of their last 31 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Al Rayyan has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Al Rayyan VS Al Ahli
2.25 Goals Scored 1.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Rayyan

(Home)
20 Aug
Al Rayyan
1 : 0
Lusail
04 Aug
Leganes
2 : 1
Al Rayyan
19 Jul
Rochdale
3 : 3
Al Rayyan
01 May
Al Rayyan
0 : 3
Al Wakra
27 Apr
Al Rayyan
4 : 0
Al Arabi (Qatar)
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Al Ahli

(Away)
03 Aug
Al Hilal
3 : 3
Al Ahli
30 Jul
Al Shabab
3 : 0
Al Ahli
27 Apr
Umm-Salal
1 : 3
Al Ahli
22 Apr
Al Nassr
5 : 1
Al Ahli
19 Apr
Al Ahli
3 : 1
Al Hussein
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al-Sadd 22 14 3 5 56:30 45
2 Shamal 22 12 4 6 39:28 40
3 Al Rayyan 22 11 5 6 46:32 38
4 Al-Gharafa 22 11 3 8 36:36 36
5 Al-Duhail 22 9 6 7 40:27 33
6 Al Arabi (Qatar) 22 9 5 8 37:41 32
7 Al Wakra 22 8 6 8 36:34 30
8 Qatar SC 22 8 5 9 32:36 29
9 Al Ahli 22 8 2 12 34:43 26
10 Al Sailiya 22 6 4 12 25:38 22
11 Al-Shahaniya 22 6 3 13 22:39 21
12 Umm-Salal 22 6 2 14 37:56 20
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Relegation - QSL 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - QSL 2 (Main)