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Al Rayyan vs Al Ahli

Qatar Qatar

QSL Jassim Bin Hamad Stadium, Doha
Our Tip

Match Events

17'
Ali T.
25' Event
Alaaeldin A.
36' Event
Roger Guedes
Assist: Amaro D.

AI Match Summary

The QSL game between Al Rayyan and Al Ahli finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al Rayyan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Al Rayyan
30%
Draws
19%
Al Ahli
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Al Rayyan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Al Rayyan carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Al Rayyan are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular QSL form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).
  • History favors Al Rayyan here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Al Rayyan Clean Sheet 16%
Al Ahli Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Rayyan Al Ahli
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 18 11
Draws 6 5
Losses 6 14
Goals Scored 2.27 1.67
Goals Conceded 1.23 2.17
Expected Goals (xG) 2.44 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 11, 2026 QSL
Al Rayyan vs Al Ahli
3:0
Feb 22, 2026 QSL
Al Rayyan vs Al Ahli
2:1
Sep 21, 2025 QSL
Al Ahli vs Al Rayyan
0:3
May 18, 2025 Emir Cup
Al Ahli vs Al Rayyan
0:3
Mar 29, 2025 QSL
Al Ahli vs Al Rayyan
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Rayyan Compare

Top Goalscorer Roger Guedes
2 Goals
Assists Leader Alaaeldin A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.88
Avg xA / game 1.22

Al Ahli Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Rayyan 84 / 100
Al Ahli 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Rayyan Al Ahli

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Rayyan Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Rayyan's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Al Ahli conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

Al Rayyan has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Al Rayyan VS Al Ahli
2.25 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Rayyan

(Home)
11 Sept
Al Rayyan
3 : 0
Al Ahli
05 Sept
Al Rayyan
1 : 1
Al-Duhail
01 Sept
Shamal
3 : 4
Al Rayyan
27 Aug
Al Wakra
1 : 2
Al Rayyan
20 Aug
Al Rayyan
1 : 0
Lusail
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Al Ahli

(Away)
11 Sept
Al Rayyan
3 : 0
Al Ahli
03 Sept
Al Ahli
1 : 0
Qatar SC
28 Aug
Al Ahli
3 : 3
Lusail
22 Aug
Al-Sadd
3 : 1
Al Ahli
03 Aug
Al Hilal
3 : 3
Al Ahli
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al-Sadd 4 4 0 0 19:7 12
2 Al Rayyan 4 3 1 0 7:2 10
3 Shamal 4 2 2 0 10:6 8
4 Al Arabi (Qatar) 4 1 3 0 5:3 6
5 Al-Duhail 4 1 3 0 5:3 6
6 Lusail 4 1 2 1 7:4 5
7 Al-Shahaniya 4 1 1 2 7:9 4
8 Al Ahli 4 1 1 2 5:9 4
9 Al-Gharafa 4 1 1 2 4:8 4
10 Qatar SC 4 0 2 2 4:9 2
11 Al Wakra 4 0 2 2 4:9 2
12 Al Sailiya 4 0 0 4 5:13 0
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Gulf Club Champions League 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - QSL (Relegation)
Relegation - QSL 2 2027/2028 (Main)