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Al Rayyan vs Al Wakra

Qatar Qatar

Emir Cup Jassim Bin Hamad Stadium, Doha
Our Tip

Match Events

12'
Luis Alberto
18'
Gaber J.
19' Event
Lucas Mendes

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-3. This leg finished 0-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Al Rayyan
20%
Draws
10%
Al Wakra
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Al Rayyan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Al Rayyan have won more games recently than Al Wakra.
  • Win probability leans Al Rayyan's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Al Rayyan have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Al Rayyan, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Al Rayyan have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Al Rayyan Clean Sheet 18%
Al Wakra Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Rayyan Al Wakra
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 18 8
Draws 7 8
Losses 6 14
Goals Scored 2.23 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.26 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 27, 2026 QSL
Al Wakra vs Al Rayyan
1:2
May 1, 2026 Emir Cup
Al Rayyan vs Al Wakra
0:3
Mar 17, 2026 QSL
Al Rayyan vs Al Wakra
2:1
Oct 26, 2025 QSL
Al Wakra vs Al Rayyan
0:2
Sep 23, 2025 QSL Cup
Al Rayyan vs Al Wakra
4:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Rayyan Compare

Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Al Wakra Compare

Top Goalscorer Lucas Mendes
1 Goals
Assists Leader Zouhzouh A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Rayyan 85 / 100
Al Wakra 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Rayyan Al Wakra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Rayyan Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Rayyan scored in 90% of their last 31 games.

Al Wakra has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Al Rayyan went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al Rayyan VS Al Wakra
2 Goals Scored 1.63
1 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Rayyan

(Home)
27 Aug
Al Wakra
1 : 2
Al Rayyan
20 Aug
Al Rayyan
1 : 0
Lusail
04 Aug
Leganes
2 : 1
Al Rayyan
19 Jul
Rochdale
3 : 3
Al Rayyan
01 May
Al Rayyan
0 : 3
Al Wakra
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Al Wakra

(Away)
27 Aug
Al Wakra
1 : 2
Al Rayyan
20 Aug
Al Wakra
2 : 2
Qatar SC
31 Jul
Nantes
5 : 1
Al Wakra
28 Jul
Rouen
1 : 0
Al Wakra
25 Jul
Caen
4 : 1
Al Wakra
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Shamal -
TBD -
Qatar SC -
TBD -
Al-Sadd -
TBD -
Al Markhiya 2
Al Mesaimeer 1
Al-Duhail -
TBD -
Al-Waab 2
Lusail 0
Al-Shahaniya -
TBD -
TBD -
Al Arabi (Qatar) -
Al-Gharafa -
TBD -
Al-Kharitiyath 2
Al Bidda 1
Al Ahli -
TBD -
TBD -
Umm-Salal -
Al Rayyan -
TBD -
TBD -
Al Khor -
Al Wakra -
TBD -
Al Sailiya 2
Muaither SC 1
1/8-finals
Shamal 2
Qatar SC 1
Al-Sadd 2
Al Markhiya 1
Al-Duhail 2
Al-Waab 0
Al-Shahaniya 0
Al Arabi (Qatar) 2
Al-Gharafa 2
Al-Kharitiyath 0
Al Ahli 2
Umm-Salal 4
Al Rayyan 2
Al Khor 0
Al Wakra 2
Al Sailiya 0
Quarter-finals
Shamal 4
Al-Sadd 6
Al-Duhail 4
Al Arabi (Qatar) 0
Al-Gharafa 2
Umm-Salal 1
Al Rayyan 0
Al Wakra 3
Semi-finals
Al-Sadd 4
Al-Duhail 1
Al-Gharafa 1
Al Wakra 0
Final
Al-Sadd 1
Al-Gharafa 4