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Al Rayyan vs Lusail

Qatar Qatar

QSL Jassim Bin Hamad Stadium, Doha
Thu, Aug 20, 2026
VS
04:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Al Rayyan host Lusail in the QSL. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Al Rayyan have averaged 2 scored and 0.88 conceded recently, against Lusail's 1.43 scored and 1.71 conceded. Past meetings favor Al Rayyan slightly — 2-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Oct 4, 2025, ending 5:2. The numbers (1.85 xG vs 1.16) point toward Al Rayyan. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Al Rayyan
6%
Draws
4%
Lusail
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Al Rayyan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Al Rayyan come out ahead of Lusail on wins alone.
  • Model gives Al Rayyan a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Al Rayyan Clean Sheet 20%
Lusail Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Rayyan Lusail
Matches Played 34 29
Wins 22 11
Draws 7 6
Losses 5 12
Goals Scored 2 1.43
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.71
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.71

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2025 QSL Cup
Al Rayyan vs Lusail
5:2
May 5, 2025 Emir Cup
Al Rayyan vs Lusail
4:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Rayyan 85 / 100
Lusail 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Rayyan Lusail

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RAY Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Rayyan's goal record stands at 91% scoring rate across 34 recent games.

These sides typically produce 6.50 goals when they meet.

Lusail let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Al Rayyan has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Al Rayyan VS Lusail
2 Goals Scored 1.43
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.71
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 71%
13% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Rayyan

(Home)
19 Jul
Rochdale
3 : 3
Al Rayyan
01 May
Al Rayyan
0 : 3
Al Wakra
27 Apr
Al Rayyan
4 : 0
Al Arabi (Qatar)
23 Apr
Al Shabab
0 : 3
Al Rayyan
19 Apr
Al Rayyan
2 : 0
Al Qadisiya
Page 1 of 7

Lusail

(Away)
24 Jul
Den Bosch
2 : 1
Lusail
18 Jul
Dordrecht
5 : 0
Lusail
30 Apr
Lusail
1 : 2
Al Bidda
25 Apr
Al Markhiya
0 : 2
Lusail
12 Apr
Lusail
3 : 0
Al Mesaimeer
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al-Sadd00000:00
2Al-Gharafa00000:00
3Al Arabi (Qatar)00000:00
4Al Rayyan00000:00
5Qatar SC00000:00
6Al Wakra00000:00
7Al Sailiya00000:00
8Al Ahli00000:00
9Al-Duhail00000:00
10Shamal00000:00
11Al-Shahaniya00000:00
12Lusail00000:00
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Gulf Club Champions League 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - QSL (Relegation)
Relegation - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)