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Al Rayyan vs Lusail

Qatar Qatar

QSL Jassim Bin Hamad Stadium, Doha
Our Tip

Match Events

17'
Nemati A.
29'
Alaaeldin A.
32'
Amaro D.

AI Match Summary

The QSL game between Al Rayyan and Lusail finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al Rayyan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Al Rayyan
35%
Draws
27%
Lusail
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Al Rayyan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Al Rayyan come out ahead of Lusail on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Al Rayyan have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Al Rayyan Clean Sheet 16%
Lusail Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Rayyan Lusail
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 18 9
Draws 6 8
Losses 5 11
Goals Scored 2.31 1.61
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.68
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 20, 2026 QSL
Al Rayyan vs Lusail
1:0
Oct 4, 2025 QSL Cup
Al Rayyan vs Lusail
5:2
May 5, 2025 Emir Cup
Al Rayyan vs Lusail
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Rayyan Compare

Top Goalscorer Gabriel Pereira
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Lusail Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Rayyan 30 / 100
Lusail 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Rayyan Lusail

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Rayyan Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Rayyan's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 4.67 goals.

Al Rayyan has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: Lusail conceded in 79% of 28 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Al Rayyan VS Lusail
2 Goals Scored 1.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Rayyan

(Home)
20 Sept
Al Rayyan
2 : 2
Qatar SC
16 Sept
Al Rayyan
4 : 3
Al-Faisaly Amman
11 Sept
Al Rayyan
3 : 0
Al Ahli
05 Sept
Al Rayyan
1 : 1
Al-Duhail
01 Sept
Shamal
3 : 4
Al Rayyan
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Lusail

(Away)
21 Sept
Lusail
1 : 0
Al Markhiya
11 Sept
Al-Gharafa
0 : 0
Lusail
04 Sept
Lusail
4 : 0
Al Wakra
28 Aug
Al Ahli
3 : 3
Lusail
20 Aug
Al Rayyan
1 : 0
Lusail
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al-Sadd 4 4 0 0 19:7 12
2 Al Rayyan 4 3 1 0 7:2 10
3 Shamal 4 2 2 0 10:6 8
4 Al Arabi (Qatar) 4 1 3 0 5:3 6
5 Al-Duhail 4 1 3 0 5:3 6
6 Lusail 4 1 2 1 7:4 5
7 Al-Shahaniya 4 1 1 2 7:9 4
8 Al Ahli 4 1 1 2 5:9 4
9 Al-Gharafa 4 1 1 2 4:8 4
10 Qatar SC 4 0 2 2 4:9 2
11 Al Wakra 4 0 2 2 4:9 2
12 Al Sailiya 4 0 0 4 5:13 0
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Gulf Club Champions League 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - QSL (Relegation)
Relegation - QSL 2 2027/2028 (Main)