Sport Picks
Match Events
18'
18'
Al Amri A.
Assist: Angelo
45'
45'
Angelo
58'
58'
Joao Felix
AI Match Summary
Al Nassr in this Saudi Professional League matchup, with the score ending 0-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Al Nassr.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
37%
30%
33%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Al Riyadh
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
33%
/ Low Confidence
- Al Nassr have won more games recently than Al Riyadh.
- 33% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Al Nassr have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Al Riyadh Clean Sheet 10%
Al Nassr Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Al Riyadh | Al Nassr |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 8 | 22 |
| Draws | 9 | 2 |
| Losses | 13 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.17 | 2.42 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.77 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 2.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 21, 2026 Saudi Professional League
Al Riyadh vs Al Nassr
0:4
Feb 2, 2026 Saudi Professional League
Al Riyadh vs Al Nassr
0:1
Sep 20, 2025 Saudi Professional League
Al Nassr vs Al Riyadh
5:1
Apr 12, 2025 Saudi Professional League
Al Nassr vs Al Riyadh
2:1
Nov 8, 2024 Saudi Professional League
Al Riyadh vs Al Nassr
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Al Riyadh Compare
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Al Nassr Compare
Top Goalscorer Al Amri A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Angelo
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Al Riyadh 30 / 100
Al Nassr 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Al Riyadh Al Nassr
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Al Nassr Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 4:5
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Al Riyadh found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).
Al Nassr let in goals in 61% of their last 31 matches.
H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: Al Riyadh remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Al Riyadh VS Al Nassr
1.25 Goals Scored 2.5
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Al Riyadh
(Home) 13 Sept
Al Riyadh
2 : 0 Al Kholood
07 Sept
Al Khaleej
0 : 0 Al Riyadh
04 Sept
Al Ahli SC
5 : 0 Al Riyadh
28 Aug
Al Riyadh
1 : 0 Neom SC
25 Aug
Al Shabab
3 : 3 Al Riyadh
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Al Riyadh
2 : 0 Al Kholood
28 Aug
Al Riyadh
1 : 0 Neom SC
21 Aug
Al Riyadh
0 : 4 Al Nassr
27 Jul
Al Riyadh
2 : 2 Al-Gharafa
21 May
Al Riyadh
1 : 0 Al Okhdood
Page 1 of 3
Al Nassr
(Away) 15 Sept
Al Ain
4 : 0 Al Nassr
12 Sept
Al Khaleej
1 : 1 Al Nassr
09 Sept
Al Nassr
2 : 1 Abha
05 Sept
Al Ittihad
2 : 1 Al Nassr
28 Aug
Al Nassr
2 : 1 Al Taawon
Page 1 of 7
15 Sept
Al Ain
4 : 0 Al Nassr
12 Sept
Al Khaleej
1 : 1 Al Nassr
05 Sept
Al Ittihad
2 : 1 Al Nassr
25 Aug
Al Ettifaq FC
2 : 3 Al Nassr
21 Aug
Al Riyadh
0 : 4 Al Nassr
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Hilal | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 23:5 | 18 |
| 2 | Al Ittihad | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 12:6 | 17 |
| 3 | Al Nassr | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 16:7 | 16 |
| 4 | Al Qadsiah | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 16:8 | 16 |
| 5 | Neom SC | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 13:6 | 15 |
| 6 | Al Ahli SC | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 16:10 | 12 |
| 7 | Al Kholood | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 12:10 | 12 |
| 8 | Al Diriyah | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7:5 | 11 |
| 9 | Al Ettifaq FC | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11:11 | 11 |
| 10 | Al Hazem Rass | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7:9 | 8 |
| 11 | Al Riyadh | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:16 | 8 |
| 12 | Al Fayha | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7:11 | 6 |
| 13 | Al Khaleej | 7 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3:10 | 5 |
| 14 | Al Shabab | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 6:11 | 4 |
| 15 | Al Fateh | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 4:11 | 3 |
| 16 | Al-Faisaly | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 5:13 | 3 |
| 17 | Al Taawon | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3:12 | 3 |
| 18 | Abha | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5:13 | 2 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Gulf Club Champions League 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Division 1 2027/2028 (Main)
