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Al Riyadi Abbasiyah vs Al Ansar

Lebanon Lebanon

Premier League
Our Tip

Match Events

85' Event
Akuki G.
Assist: El Dor M.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Al Riyadi Abbasiyah and Al Ansar finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al Ansar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
39%
Draws
31%
Al Ansar
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Al Ansar carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Al Ansar here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah Clean Sheet 10%
Al Ansar Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Riyadi Abbasiyah Al Ansar
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 11 21
Draws 8 5
Losses 13 5
Goals Scored 1 3.5
Goals Conceded 1 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 3.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 17, 2026 Premier League
Al Ansar vs Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
1:2
Nov 7, 2025 Premier League
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah vs Al Ansar
0:1
Feb 1, 2025 Premier League
Al Ansar vs Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Riyadi Abbasiyah Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Al Ansar Compare

Top Goalscorer Akuki G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 3.18
Avg xA / game 1.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Riyadi Abbasiyah 29 / 100
Al Ansar 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah Al Ansar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Al Riyadi Abbasiyah stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Al Riyadi Abbasiyah's goal record stands at 53% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Defensive concern: Al Ansar conceded in 52% of 31 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Al Riyadi Abbasiyah VS Al Ansar
1 Goals Scored 3.5
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Riyadi Abbasiyah

(Home)
17 Jul
Tadamon
0 : 0
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
13 Jul
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
4 : 0
Racing
02 Jul
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
2 : 0
Racing
24 Jun
Al Sahel
3 : 0
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
20 Jun
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
2 : 4
Safa
Page 1 of 7

Al Ansar

(Away)
24 Jul
Al Ahed
1 : 1
Al Ansar
20 Jul
Al Ansar
1 : 1
Nejmeh SC
16 Jul
Al Ansar
2 : 0
Jwayya SC
12 Jul
Al Ansar
3 : 3
Al Ahed
03 Jul
Tadamon
0 : 3
Al Ansar
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al Ansar21172253:953
2Nejmeh SC21144342:1046
3Al Ahed21131734:2240
4Jwayya SC21115531:1438
5Safa21113730:1736
6Al Hikma2193929:2730
7Al Sahel2176822:2127
8Al-Mabarrah2157912:3622
9Al Riyadi Abbasiyah21551116:3020
10Tadamon21381012:2617
11Racing2101204:611
12Bourj113178:2010
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Main)
Relegation - Premier League (Relegation)