Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Al Riyadi Abbasiyah vs Safa

Lebanon Lebanon

Premier League
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Ekejiuba D.
Assist: Dwek A.
22' Event
Camara T.
Assist: Saleh H.
33' Event
Camara T.
Assist: Ekejiuba D.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Al Riyadi Abbasiyah and Safa finished 2-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Safa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
20%
Draws
35%
Safa
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Al Riyadi Abbasiyah

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Safa carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Al Riyadi Abbasiyah are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Safa here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah Clean Sheet 68%
Safa Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Riyadi Abbasiyah Safa
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 12 16
Draws 7 5
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.23 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 20, 2026 Premier League
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah vs Safa
2:4
Dec 7, 2025 Premier League
Safa vs Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
2:1
Jan 26, 2025 Premier League
Safa vs Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Riyadi Abbasiyah Compare

Top Goalscorer Jaber M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bitar H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Safa Compare

Top Goalscorer Camara T.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Ekejiuba D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Riyadi Abbasiyah 51 / 100
Safa 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah Safa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Al Riyadi Abbasiyah has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: Safa conceded in 74% of 31 recent games.

Al Riyadi Abbasiyah scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

Al Riyadi Abbasiyah VS Safa
0.88 Goals Scored 1.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Riyadi Abbasiyah

(Home)
29 Jul
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
2 : 1
Tadamon
25 Jul
Racing
1 : 2
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
17 Jul
Tadamon
0 : 0
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
13 Jul
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
4 : 0
Racing
02 Jul
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
2 : 0
Racing
Page 1 of 6

Safa

(Away)
03 Jul
Safa
4 : 0
Al-Mabarrah
28 Jun
Jwayya SC
1 : 1
Safa
24 Jun
Al Ahed
4 : 1
Safa
20 Jun
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
2 : 4
Safa
12 Jun
Al Sahel
0 : 1
Safa
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Ansar 21 17 2 2 53:9 53
2 Nejmeh SC 21 14 4 3 42:10 46
3 Al Ahed 21 13 1 7 34:22 40
4 Jwayya SC 21 11 5 5 31:14 38
5 Safa 21 11 3 7 30:17 36
6 Al Hikma 21 9 3 9 29:27 30
7 Al Sahel 21 7 6 8 22:21 27
8 Al-Mabarrah 21 5 7 9 12:36 22
9 Al Riyadi Abbasiyah 21 5 5 11 16:30 20
10 Tadamon 21 3 8 10 12:26 17
11 Racing 21 0 1 20 4:61 1
12 Bourj 11 3 1 7 8:20 10
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Main)
Relegation - Premier League (Relegation)