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Al Sadd vs Al Ahli SC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Asia Asia

AFC Champions League Jassim Bin Hamad Stadium, Doha
Mon, Nov 2, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Al Sadd host Al Ahli SC in the AFC Champions League. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Al Sadd have averaged 2.5 scored and 2 conceded recently, against Al Ahli SC's 2.1 scored and 1.34 conceded. Past meetings favor Al Ahli SC slightly — 1-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Nov 4, 2025, ending 1:2. The numbers (1.88 xG vs 2.31) point toward Al Ahli SC. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Al Sadd
15%
Draws
67%
Al Ahli SC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Al Ahli SC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Al Ahli SC lately — more wins on the board than Al Sadd.
  • Model gives Al Ahli SC a 67% chance of winning this.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%
Al Sadd Clean Sheet 10%
Al Ahli SC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Sadd Al Ahli SC
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 15 17
Draws 3 3
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 2.5 2.1
Goals Conceded 2 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 4, 2025 AFC Champions League
Al Sadd vs Al Ahli SC
1:2
Feb 3, 2025 AFC Champions League
Al Sadd vs Al Ahli SC
1:3
May 6, 2019 AFC Champions League
Al Sadd vs Al Ahli SC
2:1
Mar 5, 2019 AFC Champions League
Al Ahli SC vs Al Sadd
2:0
May 14, 2018 AFC Champions League
Al Ahli SC vs Al Sadd
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Sadd 22 / 100
Al Ahli SC 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Sadd Al Ahli SC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Ahli SC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Sadd's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Al Ahli SC has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Recent resilience: Al Sadd stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al Sadd VS Al Ahli SC
2.38 Goals Scored 2.63
2 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Sadd

(Home)
26 Oct
Al Qadsiah
1 : 1
Al Sadd
22 Oct
Al Shahaniya
0 : 4
Al Sadd
18 Oct
Al Sadd
2 : 3
Al Duhail
13 Oct
Al Sadd
0 : 2
Al Hilal
09 Oct
Al Sadd
2 : 3
Al Arabi (Qatar)
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Al Ahli SC

(Away)
26 Oct
Al Ahli SC
2 : 1
Al Gharafa
23 Oct
Al Ahli SC
4 : 1
Al Khaleej
19 Oct
Al Fayha
2 : 3
Al Ahli SC
12 Oct
Al Wasl
1 : 3
Al Ahli SC
09 Oct
Al Fateh
0 : 4
Al Ahli SC
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kashima Antlers 3 3 0 0 11:1 9
2 Vissel Kobe 3 3 0 0 5:1 9
3 Gamba Osaka 3 2 1 0 8:3 7
4 Johor DT 3 2 1 0 6:1 7
5 Beijing Guoan 3 2 1 0 6:3 7
6 Kyoto 3 2 0 1 6:3 6
7 Kashiwa Reysol 3 1 1 1 6:3 4
8 Shanghai Port 3 1 1 1 9:8 4
9 Daejeon 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
10 Jeonbuk 3 1 1 1 4:5 4
11 Cong An Ha Noi 3 1 0 2 4:7 3
12 Buriram United F.C. 3 0 2 1 2:3 2
13 Ratchaburi 3 0 1 2 4:7 1
14 Pohang 3 0 0 3 1:8 0
15 Port MTI FC 3 0 0 3 2:10 0
16 Newcastle Jets 3 0 0 3 4:15 0
Promotion - AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Ain 3 3 0 0 10:2 9
2 Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 3 3 0 0 5:1 9
3 Al Ahli SC 3 2 1 0 6:3 7
4 Esteghlal TEH 3 2 0 1 5:3 6
5 Al Hilal 3 2 0 1 5:4 6
6 Shamal 3 1 2 0 4:2 5
7 Al Qadsiah 3 1 2 0 4:3 5
8 Al Ittihad 3 1 1 1 4:4 4
9 Al Nassr 2 1 0 1 3:5 3
10 Neftchi Fargona 3 1 0 2 3:5 3
11 Al Quwa Al Jawiya 3 1 0 2 2:5 3
12 Pakhtakor 3 0 2 1 2:3 2
13 Tractor 3 0 1 2 1:3 1
14 Al Sadd 3 0 1 2 1:6 1
15 Al Gharafa 3 0 0 3 3:6 0
16 Al Wasl 2 0 0 2 2:5 0
Promotion - AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)