Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Al-Sadd vs Al Ahli

Qatar Qatar

QSL Jassim Bin Hamad Stadium, Doha
Sat, Aug 22, 2026
VS
04:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Al-Sadd host Al Ahli in the QSL. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Al Ahli have shipped 1.5 goals a game lately, while Al-Sadd have conceded 2.75 and scored 2.88. Head-to-head, Al-Sadd have won 4 to Al Ahli's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Jan 16, 2026, ending 2:0. The numbers (1.20 xG vs 1.00) point toward Al-Sadd. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Al-Sadd
39%
Draws
31%
Al Ahli
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Al-Sadd carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular QSL form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Al-Sadd have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.6%
Al-Sadd Clean Sheet 20%
Al Ahli Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al-Sadd Al Ahli
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 17 11
Draws 2 6
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 2.88 2
Goals Conceded 2.75 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.88 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.75 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 16, 2026 QSL
Al-Sadd vs Al Ahli
2:0
Nov 16, 2025 QSL Cup
Al-Sadd vs Al Ahli
2:2
Aug 21, 2025 QSL
Al Ahli vs Al-Sadd
0:2
Apr 22, 2025 Qatar Cup
Al-Sadd vs Al Ahli
3:0
Apr 18, 2025 QSL
Al-Sadd vs Al Ahli
5:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al-Sadd 31 / 100
Al Ahli 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al-Sadd Al Ahli

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Al-Sadd scored in 90% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Al Ahli conceded in 89% of 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Solid form: Al-Sadd remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Al-Sadd VS Al Ahli
2.88 Goals Scored 2
2.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Al-Sadd

(Home)
17 Jul
Sigma Olomouc
2 : 1
Al-Sadd
09 May
Al-Gharafa
4 : 1
Al-Sadd
05 May
Al-Duhail
1 : 4
Al-Sadd
01 May
Shamal
4 : 6
Al-Sadd
27 Apr
Al-Sadd
3 : 2
Shamal
Page 1 of 6

Al Ahli

(Away)
27 Apr
Umm-Salal
1 : 3
Al Ahli
22 Apr
Al Nassr
5 : 1
Al Ahli
19 Apr
Al Ahli
3 : 1
Al Hussein
08 Apr
Al Ahli
2 : 1
Al-Duhail
03 Apr
Al Ahli
2 : 2
Al Sailiya
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al-Sadd00000:00
2Al-Gharafa00000:00
3Al Arabi (Qatar)00000:00
4Al Rayyan00000:00
5Qatar SC00000:00
6Al Wakra00000:00
7Al Sailiya00000:00
8Al Ahli00000:00
9Al-Duhail00000:00
10Shamal00000:00
11Al-Shahaniya00000:00
12Lusail00000:00
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Gulf Club Champions League 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - QSL (Relegation)
Relegation - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)