Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Al Sadd vs Al Duhail - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Qatar Qatar

QSL Jassim Bin Hamad Stadium, Doha
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
04:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Al Sadd host Al Duhail in the QSL. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Recent numbers: Al Sadd at 2.59 goals for, 1.88 against; Al Duhail at 1.55 for, 1.17 against. Past meetings favor Al Sadd slightly — 4-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 5, 2026, ending 1:4. Model xG sits at 1.69 vs 1.69, favoring Al Sadd. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Al Sadd
20%
Draws
44%
Al Duhail
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Al Duhail

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Al Sadd lately — more wins on the board than Al Duhail.
  • Al Duhail are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Al Sadd have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Al Sadd Clean Sheet 13%
Al Duhail Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Sadd Al Duhail
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 21 12
Draws 2 7
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 2.59 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.88 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 5, 2026 Emir Cup
Al Duhail vs Al Sadd
1:4
Feb 26, 2026 QSL
Al Duhail vs Al Sadd
1:3
Sep 25, 2025 QSL
Al Sadd vs Al Duhail
0:0
May 10, 2025 Qatar Cup
Al Sadd vs Al Duhail
3:2
Feb 22, 2025 QSL
Al Sadd vs Al Duhail
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Sadd 27 / 100
Al Duhail 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Sadd Al Duhail

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Duhail Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Sadd scored in 94% of their last 32 games.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Al Duhail's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

Al Sadd has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Al Sadd VS Al Duhail
2.38 Goals Scored 1.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Sadd

(Home)
09 Oct
Al Sadd
2 : 3
Al Arabi (Qatar)
14 Sept
Esteghlal TEH
3 : 0
Al Sadd
10 Sept
Al Sailiya
3 : 6
Al Sadd
05 Sept
Al Sadd
4 : 1
Al Gharafa
01 Sept
Al Sadd
2 : 1
Al Gharafa
Page 1 of 7

Al Duhail

(Away)
08 Oct
Shamal
0 : 4
Al Duhail
28 Sept
Al Shahaniya
1 : 3
Al Duhail
21 Sept
Al Duhail
2 : 0
Al Arabi (Qatar)
12 Sept
Al Duhail
1 : 1
Al Shahaniya
05 Sept
Al Rayyan
1 : 1
Al Duhail
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Rayyan 5 4 1 0 10:2 13
2 Al Sadd 5 4 0 1 21:10 12
3 Al Duhail 5 2 3 0 9:3 9
4 Al Arabi (Qatar) 5 2 3 0 8:5 9
5 Shamal 5 2 2 1 10:10 8
6 Lusail 4 1 2 1 7:4 5
7 Al Wakra 5 1 2 2 7:11 5
8 Al Shahaniya 4 1 1 2 7:9 4
9 Al Ahli 4 1 1 2 5:9 4
10 Al Gharafa 5 1 1 3 6:11 4
11 Qatar SC 5 0 2 3 4:12 2
12 Al Sailiya 4 0 0 4 5:13 0
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Gulf Club Champions League 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - QSL (Relegation)
Relegation - QSL 2 2027/2028 (Main)