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Al-Sadd vs Al Hilal

Asia Asia

AFC Champions League 2025/2026 Jassim Bin Hamad Stadium, Doha
Tue, Mar 10, 2026
VS
06:15 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the AFC Champions League 2025/2026. This has Al Hilal written all over it on paper. Recent numbers: Al-Sadd at 2.59 goals for, 1.93 against; Al Hilal at 2.45 for, 0.93 against. Past meetings favor Al-Sadd slightly — 2-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 13, 2026, ending 3:4. Model xG sits at 1.20 vs 1.00, favoring Al Hilal. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Al-Sadd
15%
Draws
42%
Al Hilal
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Al-Sadd

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Al Hilal lately — more wins on the board than Al-Sadd.
  • 42% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Al Hilal arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Al-Sadd Clean Sheet 20%
Al Hilal Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al-Sadd Al Hilal
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 19 21
Draws 2 5
Losses 8 3
Goals Scored 2.59 2.45
Goals Conceded 1.93 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 13, 2026 AFC Champions League
Al Hilal vs Al-Sadd
3:4
Mar 10, 2026 AFC Champions League
Al-Sadd vs Al Hilal
0:0
Oct 21, 2025 AFC Champions League
Al Hilal vs Al-Sadd
3:1
Nov 26, 2024 AFC Champions League
Al-Sadd vs Al Hilal
1:1
Jul 30, 2023 Arab Club Champions Cup
Al Hilal vs Al-Sadd
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al-Sadd 32 / 100
Al Hilal 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al-Sadd Al Hilal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Hilal Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al-Sadd's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Solid form: Al-Sadd remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Al Hilal has conceded goals in 55% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Al-Sadd VS Al Hilal
2.88 Goals Scored 2.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Al-Sadd

(Home)
14 Sept
Esteghlal TEH
3 : 0
Al-Sadd
10 Sept
Al Sailiya
3 : 6
Al-Sadd
05 Sept
Al-Sadd
4 : 1
Al-Gharafa
01 Sept
Al-Sadd
2 : 1
Al-Gharafa
28 Aug
Qatar SC
2 : 6
Al-Sadd
Page 1 of 6

Al Hilal

(Away)
15 Sept
Al Hilal
2 : 1
Al-Gharafa
12 Sept
Al Taawon
0 : 6
Al Hilal
07 Sept
Al Hilal
0 : 2
Neom SC
04 Sept
Al Shabab
0 : 2
Al Hilal
01 Sept
Al Hilal
3 : 0
Al Ahli SC
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Al Hilal 3
Al-Sadd 4
Vissel Kobe 3
Seoul 1
Al Ahli SC 1
Al-Duhail 0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2
Johor DT 3
Machida Zelvia 1
Gangwon 0
Al Ittihad 1
Al Wahda 0
Buriram United F.C. 2
Melbourne City 1
Tractor 0
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai 3
Quarter-finals
Al-Sadd 3
Vissel Kobe 4
Al Ahli SC 2
Johor DT 1
Machida Zelvia 1
Al Ittihad 0
Buriram United F.C. 2
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai 3
Semi-finals
Vissel Kobe 1
Al Ahli SC 2
Machida Zelvia 1
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai 0
Final
Al Ahli SC 1
Machida Zelvia 0