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Al-Sadd vs Al Hilal

Asia Asia

AFC Champions League 2025/2026 Jassim Bin Hamad Stadium, Doha
Tue, Mar 10, 2026
VS
06:15 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the AFC Champions League 2025/2026. This has Al Hilal written all over it on paper. Recent numbers: Al-Sadd at 3.13 goals for, 2.63 against; Al Hilal at 2.5 for, 0.88 against. Past meetings favor Al-Sadd slightly — 2-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 13, 2026, ending 3:4. Model xG sits at 1.20 vs 1.00, favoring Al Hilal. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Al-Sadd
39%
Draws
30%
Al Hilal
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Al Hilal lately — more wins on the board than Al-Sadd.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Al Hilal arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Al-Sadd Clean Sheet 20%
Al Hilal Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al-Sadd Al Hilal
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 18 19
Draws 2 8
Losses 10 1
Goals Scored 3.13 2.5
Goals Conceded 2.63 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 3.13 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.63 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 13, 2026 AFC Champions League
Al Hilal vs Al-Sadd
3:4
Mar 10, 2026 AFC Champions League
Al-Sadd vs Al Hilal
0:0
Oct 21, 2025 AFC Champions League
Al Hilal vs Al-Sadd
3:1
Nov 26, 2024 AFC Champions League
Al-Sadd vs Al Hilal
1:1
Jul 30, 2023 Arab Club Champions Cup
Al Hilal vs Al-Sadd
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al-Sadd 32 / 100
Al Hilal 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al-Sadd Al Hilal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALH Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al-Sadd's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Solid form: Al-Sadd remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Al Hilal has conceded goals in 57% of their last 28 outings.

Scoring Trends

Al-Sadd VS Al Hilal
3.13 Goals Scored 2.5
2.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 63%
88% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Al-Sadd

(Home)
17 Jul
Sigma Olomouc
2 : 1
Al-Sadd
09 May
Al-Gharafa
4 : 1
Al-Sadd
05 May
Al-Duhail
1 : 4
Al-Sadd
01 May
Shamal
4 : 6
Al-Sadd
27 Apr
Al-Sadd
3 : 2
Shamal
Page 1 of 6

Al Hilal

(Away)
24 Jul
Al Hilal
2 : 0
Mamelodi Sundowns
19 Jul
Sturm II
1 : 2
Al Hilal
21 May
Al Fayha
0 : 1
Al Hilal
16 May
Al Hilal
2 : 0
Neom SC
12 May
Al Nassr
1 : 1
Al Hilal
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Al Hilal3
Al-Sadd4
Vissel Kobe3
Seoul1
Al Ahli SC1
Al-Duhail0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima2
Johor DT3
Machida Zelvia1
Gangwon0
Al Ittihad1
Al Wahda0
Buriram United F.C.2
Melbourne City1
Tractor0
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai3
Quarter-finals
Al-Sadd3
Vissel Kobe4
Al Ahli SC2
Johor DT1
Machida Zelvia1
Al Ittihad0
Buriram United F.C.2
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai3
Semi-finals
Vissel Kobe1
Al Ahli SC2
Machida Zelvia1
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai0
Final
Al Ahli SC1
Machida Zelvia0