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Al Sadd vs Shamal - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Qatar Qatar

QSL Jassim Bin Hamad Stadium, Doha
Sat, Nov 7, 2026
VS
04:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Al Sadd host Shamal in the QSL. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Recent numbers: Al Sadd at 2.68 goals for, 1.77 against; Shamal at 1.71 for, 1.68 against. Past meetings favor Al Sadd slightly — 4-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 1, 2026, ending 4:6. xG projections (2.25 - 2.19) back Al Sadd to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Al Sadd
20%
Draws
38%
Shamal
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Al Sadd

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Al Sadd come out ahead of Shamal on wins alone.
  • Al Sadd are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).
  • History favors Al Sadd here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Al Sadd Clean Sheet 10%
Shamal Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Sadd Shamal
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 21 12
Draws 2 5
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 2.68 1.71
Goals Conceded 1.77 1.68
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2026 Emir Cup
Shamal vs Al Sadd
4:6
Apr 27, 2026 QSL
Al Sadd vs Shamal
3:2
Dec 29, 2025 QSL
Shamal vs Al Sadd
0:3
Jan 12, 2025 QSL
Al Sadd vs Shamal
1:0
Aug 10, 2024 QSL
Shamal vs Al Sadd
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Sadd 38 / 100
Shamal 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Sadd Shamal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Sadd Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Sadd found the back of the net in 97% of recent matches (31 games).

Games between these two average 4.40 goals.

Shamal has conceded goals in 79% of their last 28 outings.

Al Sadd went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al Sadd VS Shamal
3 Goals Scored 2.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Sadd

(Home)
09 Oct
Al Sadd
2 : 3
Al Arabi (Qatar)
14 Sept
Esteghlal TEH
3 : 0
Al Sadd
10 Sept
Al Sailiya
3 : 6
Al Sadd
05 Sept
Al Sadd
4 : 1
Al Gharafa
01 Sept
Al Sadd
2 : 1
Al Gharafa
Page 1 of 7

Shamal

(Away)
08 Oct
Shamal
0 : 4
Al Duhail
01 Oct
Shamal
2 : 1
Muaither SC
22 Sept
Al Bidda
0 : 4
Shamal
14 Sept
Shamal
1 : 1
Al Ittihad
10 Sept
Shamal
1 : 1
Al Wakra
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Rayyan 5 4 1 0 10:2 13
2 Al Sadd 5 4 0 1 21:10 12
3 Al Duhail 5 2 3 0 9:3 9
4 Al Arabi (Qatar) 5 2 3 0 8:5 9
5 Shamal 5 2 2 1 10:10 8
6 Lusail 4 1 2 1 7:4 5
7 Al Wakra 5 1 2 2 7:11 5
8 Al Shahaniya 4 1 1 2 7:9 4
9 Al Ahli 4 1 1 2 5:9 4
10 Al Gharafa 5 1 1 3 6:11 4
11 Qatar SC 5 0 2 3 4:12 2
12 Al Sailiya 4 0 0 4 5:13 0
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Gulf Club Champions League 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - QSL (Relegation)
Relegation - QSL 2 2027/2028 (Main)