Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Al-Sadd vs Vissel Kobe

Asia Asia

AFC Champions League 2025/2026 Prince Abdullah al-Faisal Stadium, Jeddah
Thu, Apr 16, 2026
3 - 4
04:15 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Mujica R.
Assist: Afif A.
24' Event
Osako Y.
Assist: Sakai G.
46'
Sub
Pedro Miguel In: Salman T.
Out: Pedro Miguel

AI Match Summary

Vissel Kobe in this AFC Champions League 2025/2026 tie, finishing 3-4. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Al-Sadd
15%
Draws
41%
Vissel Kobe
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Al-Sadd

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Al-Sadd have won more games recently than Vissel Kobe.
  • 44% — that's where the model lands on Al-Sadd taking it.
  • Al-Sadd have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Vissel Kobe, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Al-Sadd Clean Sheet 20%
Vissel Kobe Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al-Sadd Vissel Kobe
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 18 17
Draws 2 2
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 2.56 1.89
Goals Conceded 1.85 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 16, 2026 AFC Champions League
Al-Sadd vs Vissel Kobe
3:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al-Sadd Compare

Top Goalscorer Mujica R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Roberto Firmino
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Vissel Kobe Compare

Top Goalscorer Osako Y.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ideguchi Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al-Sadd 58 / 100
Vissel Kobe 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al-Sadd Vissel Kobe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al-Sadd Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al-Sadd's goal record stands at 89% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

H2H data points to 7.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Al-Sadd remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: Vissel Kobe conceded in 71% of 28 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Al-Sadd VS Vissel Kobe
2.25 Goals Scored 1.88
1 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Al-Sadd

(Home)
05 Sept
Al-Sadd
4 : 1
Al-Gharafa
01 Sept
Al-Sadd
2 : 1
Al-Gharafa
28 Aug
Qatar SC
2 : 6
Al-Sadd
22 Aug
Al-Sadd
3 : 1
Al Ahli
06 Aug
Aris Limassol
1 : 1
Al-Sadd
Page 1 of 6

Vissel Kobe

(Away)
06 Sept
Vissel Kobe
3 : 1
V-Varen Nagasaki
02 Sept
Verdy
0 : 2
Vissel Kobe
29 Aug
Vissel Kobe
1 : 0
Cerezo Osaka
26 Aug
Vissel Kobe
2 : 1
Veroskronos Tsuno
22 Aug
Yokohama F. Marinos
1 : 0
Vissel Kobe
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Al Hilal 3
Al-Sadd 4
Vissel Kobe 3
Seoul 1
Al Ahli SC 1
Al-Duhail 0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2
Johor DT 3
Machida Zelvia 1
Gangwon 0
Al Ittihad 1
Al Wahda 0
Buriram United F.C. 2
Melbourne City 1
Tractor 0
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai 3
Quarter-finals
Al-Sadd 3
Vissel Kobe 4
Al Ahli SC 2
Johor DT 1
Machida Zelvia 1
Al Ittihad 0
Buriram United F.C. 2
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai 3
Semi-finals
Vissel Kobe 1
Al Ahli SC 2
Machida Zelvia 1
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai 0
Final
Al Ahli SC 1
Machida Zelvia 0