Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Al Safa vs Al-Kawkab

Saudi Arabia Saudi Arabia

Division 2 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Division 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Al Safa
35%
Draws
18%
Al-Kawkab
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Al Safa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Al Safa lately — more wins on the board than Al-Kawkab.
  • 47% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Division 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Al Safa Clean Sheet 68%
Al-Kawkab Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Safa Al-Kawkab
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 11
Draws 5 7
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1.07 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 9, 2026 Division 2
Al Safa vs Al-Kawkab
2:2
Dec 27, 2025 Division 2
Al-Kawkab vs Al Safa
2:0
Nov 6, 2019 King Cup
Al Safa vs Al-Kawkab
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Safa 41 / 100
Al-Kawkab 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Safa Al-Kawkab

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Safa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.33 goals.

Al Safa's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Al-Kawkab's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Al Safa stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al Safa VS Al-Kawkab
1.25 Goals Scored 1.5
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Safa

(Home)
09 Apr
Al Safa
2 : 2
Al-Kawkab
03 Apr
Al Qous
0 : 1
Al Safa
27 Mar
Mudhar Club
2 : 2
Al Safa
13 Mar
Al Saqer
3 : 0
Al Safa
06 Mar
Al Safa
2 : 1
Arar
Page 1 of 6

Al-Kawkab

(Away)
09 Apr
Al Safa
2 : 2
Al-Kawkab
04 Apr
Al-Kawkab
1 : 1
Al Nairea
27 Mar
Al-Kawkab
0 : 3
Al Saqer
15 Mar
Mudhar Club
1 : 0
Al-Kawkab
06 Mar
Al-Kawkab
2 : 2
Al Qous
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Jeel 30 18 4 8 48:35 58
2 Al Ain 30 15 10 5 50:34 55
3 Al-Sahel 30 15 8 7 48:29 53
4 Al-Washm 30 13 9 8 50:34 48
5 Najran 30 13 7 10 44:38 46
6 Jerash 30 13 7 10 52:46 46
7 Al Entesar 30 10 12 8 38:36 42
8 Al Najoom 30 6 21 3 36:31 39
9 Jubbah 30 9 11 10 40:36 38
10 Afief 30 9 9 12 35:36 36
11 Al Rawdhah 30 9 8 13 31:43 35
12 Al-Shoalah 30 8 11 11 44:48 35
13 Al Taraji 30 8 10 12 42:57 34
14 Al-Sharq 30 6 15 9 32:36 33
15 Tuwaiq 30 6 10 14 36:51 28
16 Al-Sadd 30 2 8 20 29:65 14
Promotion - Division 1 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Saqer 30 21 6 3 59:19 69
2 Hajer 30 20 6 4 47:20 66
3 Al Loa 30 19 8 3 67:32 65
4 Mudhar Club 30 13 10 7 37:26 49
5 Al Rayan 30 14 7 9 50:41 49
6 Al Nairea 30 13 9 8 50:37 48
7 Hottain 30 13 6 11 39:37 45
8 Al Safa 30 12 5 13 32:44 41
9 Al Qalah 30 11 7 12 32:32 40
10 Al-Kawkab 30 11 7 12 33:39 40
11 Al Gottah 30 9 10 11 43:41 37
12 Wej Sports Club 30 8 11 11 42:35 35
13 Al Qous 30 8 9 13 36:41 33
14 Arar 30 8 3 19 38:62 27
15 Bisha 30 2 7 21 21:58 10
16 Ohod 30 1 3 26 16:78 6
Promotion - Division 1 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)