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Al Sahel vs Al Ahed - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Lebanon Lebanon

Premier League
Fri, Oct 30, 2026
VS
11:15 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Al Sahel host Al Ahed in the Premier League. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Al Sahel have averaged 1.26 scored and 0.97 conceded recently, against Al Ahed's 1.41 scored and 1.29 conceded. Head-to-head, Al Sahel have won 1 to Al Ahed's 4, with 0 draws. They last met on Jun 28, 2026, ending 4:2. The numbers (1.38 xG vs 1.24) point toward Al Ahed. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Al Sahel
35%
Draws
19%
Al Ahed
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Al Sahel

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Al Sahel haven't matched Al Ahed's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Al Sahel a 46% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Al Ahed have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 32%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Al Sahel Clean Sheet 19%
Al Ahed Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Sahel Al Ahed
Matches Played 34 34
Wins 14 16
Draws 8 5
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1.26 1.41
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 28, 2026 Premier League
Al Ahed vs Al Sahel
4:2
Dec 20, 2025 Premier League
Al Sahel vs Al Ahed
2:1
Mar 30, 2025 Premier League
Al Sahel vs Al Ahed
1:8
Sep 24, 2023 Premier League
Al Sahel vs Al Ahed
0:5
Apr 24, 2023 Lebanese Cup
Al Sahel vs Al Ahed
0:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Sahel 49 / 100
Al Ahed 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Sahel Al Ahed

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Sahel Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 5.40 goals when they meet.

Al Sahel found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (34 games).

Al Ahed's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 33 matches.

Al Sahel has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Al Sahel VS Al Ahed
1 Goals Scored 1.63
0.86 Goals Conceded 1.75
43% Over 1.5 75%
29% Over 2.5 50%
14% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Sahel

(Home)
08 Oct
Al Sahel
0 : 1
Tadamon
02 Jul
Jwayya SC
0 : 0
Al Sahel
28 Jun
Al Ahed
4 : 2
Al Sahel
24 Jun
Al Sahel
3 : 0
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
16 Jun
Al Sahel
2 : 0
Racing
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Al Ahed

(Away)
09 Oct
Tripoli SC
1 : 1
Al Ahed
01 Aug
Al Ahed
2 : 2
Jwayya SC
28 Jul
Nejmeh SC
2 : 1
Al Ahed
24 Jul
Al Ahed
1 : 1
Al Ansar
20 Jul
Jwayya SC
2 : 0
Al Ahed
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Safa 2 2 0 0 5:1 6
2 Nejmeh SC 2 1 1 0 5:3 4
3 Tadamon 2 1 1 0 4:3 4
4 Jwayya SC 1 1 0 0 3:0 3
5 Al Ansar 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
6 Al Ahed 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
7 Tripoli SC 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
8 Al Hikma 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
9 Al Riyadi Abbasiyah 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
10 Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
11 Al Mabarrah 1 0 0 1 0:3 0
12 Al Sahel 2 0 0 2 0:4 0
Promotion - Premier League (Winners stage)
Relegation - Premier League (Losers stage)