Sport Picks

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Al Sahel vs Bourj

Lebanon Lebanon

Premier League
Our Tip

Match Events

53' Event
Salami H.
Assist: Haidar M.

AI Match Summary

Al Sahel in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Al Sahel.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Al Sahel
11%
Draws
9%
Bourj
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Al Sahel

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Al Sahel have won more games recently than Bourj.
  • Al Sahel are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 55%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 20%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Al Sahel Clean Sheet 68%
Bourj Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Sahel Bourj
Matches Played 39 32
Wins 18 17
Draws 9 4
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1 1
Goals Conceded 0.63 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 6, 2025 Premier League
Al Sahel vs Bourj
1:0
Jun 13, 2025 Premier League
Al Sahel vs Bourj
1:2
May 14, 2025 Premier League
Al Sahel vs Bourj
0:2
Apr 13, 2025 Premier League
Bourj vs Al Sahel
2:0
Mar 8, 2025 Premier League
Al Sahel vs Bourj
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Sahel Compare

Top Goalscorer Salami H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Bourj Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Sahel 86 / 100
Bourj 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Sahel Bourj

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAH Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Sahel's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 39 recent games.

Bourj has conceded goals in 66% of their last 32 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Al Sahel stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al Sahel VS Bourj
1 Goals Scored 1
0.63 Goals Conceded 2
50% Over 1.5 60%
25% Over 2.5 60%
0% Over 3.5 40%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Sahel

(Home)
02 Jul
Jwayya SC
0 : 0
Al Sahel
28 Jun
Al Ahed
4 : 2
Al Sahel
24 Jun
Al Sahel
3 : 0
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
16 Jun
Al Sahel
2 : 0
Racing
12 Jun
Al Sahel
0 : 1
Safa
Page 1 of 8

Bourj

(Away)
30 Dec
Al Ansar
4 : 1
Bourj
25 Dec
Bourj
1 : 4
Al Ahed
19 Dec
Bourj
1 : 0
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
12 Dec
Bourj
2 : 1
Racing
06 Dec
Al Sahel
1 : 0
Bourj
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al Ansar21172253:953
2Nejmeh SC21144342:1046
3Al Ahed21131734:2240
4Jwayya SC21115531:1438
5Safa21113730:1736
6Al Hikma2193929:2730
7Al Sahel2176822:2127
8Al-Mabarrah2157912:3622
9Al Riyadi Abbasiyah21551116:3020
10Tadamon21381012:2617
11Racing2101204:611
12Bourj113178:2010
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Main)
Relegation - Premier League (Relegation)