Sport Picks

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Al Sahel vs Bourj

Lebanon Lebanon

Premier League
Our Tip

Match Events

53' Event
Salami H.
Assist: Haidar M.

AI Match Summary

Al Sahel in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Al Sahel.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Al Sahel
15%
Draws
39%
Bourj
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Al Sahel

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Bourj have won more games recently than Al Sahel.
  • Al Sahel are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 55%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 20%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Al Sahel Clean Sheet 68%
Bourj Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Sahel Bourj
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 13 15
Draws 8 4
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.33 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 6, 2025 Premier League
Al Sahel vs Bourj
1:0
Jun 13, 2025 Premier League
Al Sahel vs Bourj
1:2
May 14, 2025 Premier League
Al Sahel vs Bourj
0:2
Apr 13, 2025 Premier League
Bourj vs Al Sahel
2:0
Mar 8, 2025 Premier League
Al Sahel vs Bourj
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Sahel Compare

Top Goalscorer Salami H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Bourj Compare

Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Sahel 86 / 100
Bourj 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Sahel Bourj

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Sahel Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Sahel's goal record stands at 64% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Bourj has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Al Sahel stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al Sahel VS Bourj
1 Goals Scored 1
0.63 Goals Conceded 2
50% Over 1.5 60%
25% Over 2.5 60%
0% Over 3.5 40%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Sahel

(Home)
02 Jul
Jwayya SC
0 : 0
Al Sahel
28 Jun
Al Ahed
4 : 2
Al Sahel
24 Jun
Al Sahel
3 : 0
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
16 Jun
Al Sahel
2 : 0
Racing
12 Jun
Al Sahel
0 : 1
Safa
Page 1 of 7

Bourj

(Away)
30 Dec
Al Ansar
4 : 1
Bourj
25 Dec
Bourj
1 : 4
Al Ahed
19 Dec
Bourj
1 : 0
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
12 Dec
Bourj
2 : 1
Racing
06 Dec
Al Sahel
1 : 0
Bourj
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Ansar 21 17 2 2 53:9 53
2 Nejmeh SC 21 14 4 3 42:10 46
3 Al Ahed 21 13 1 7 34:22 40
4 Jwayya SC 21 11 5 5 31:14 38
5 Safa 21 11 3 7 30:17 36
6 Al Hikma 21 9 3 9 29:27 30
7 Al Sahel 21 7 6 8 22:21 27
8 Al-Mabarrah 21 5 7 9 12:36 22
9 Al Riyadi Abbasiyah 21 5 5 11 16:30 20
10 Tadamon 21 3 8 10 12:26 17
11 Racing 21 0 1 20 4:61 1
12 Bourj 11 3 1 7 8:20 10
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Main)
Relegation - Premier League (Relegation)