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Al Sahel vs Burgan

Kuwait Kuwait

Division 1
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Division 1 game between Al Sahel and Burgan finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al Sahel.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Al Sahel
35%
Draws
40%
Burgan
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Burgan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Al Sahel come out ahead of Burgan on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 30%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Al Sahel Clean Sheet 20%
Burgan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Sahel Burgan
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 15 7
Draws 8 9
Losses 8 14
Goals Scored 1.23 1.2
Goals Conceded 0.81 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 0.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 2, 2026 Division 1
Al Sahel vs Burgan
0:0
Dec 31, 2025 Division 1
Al Sahel vs Burgan
2:1
Sep 21, 2025 Division 1
Al Sahel vs Burgan
0:0
May 18, 2025 Division 1
Burgan vs Al Sahel
0:1
Apr 29, 2025 Division 1
Al Sahel vs Burgan
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Sahel 32 / 100
Burgan 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Sahel Burgan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Sahel's goal record stands at 65% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Defensive concern: Burgan conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Al Sahel went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 1.20 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Al Sahel VS Burgan
1.38 Goals Scored 0.38
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Sahel

(Home)
06 Sept
Al Salmiya
1 : 0
Al Sahel
01 Sept
Kazma SC
0 : 0
Al Sahel
27 Aug
Al Sahel
1 : 0
Al Sulaibikhat
20 Aug
Al Sahel
2 : 3
Yarmouk
17 Aug
Al Sulaibikhat
0 : 0
Al Sahel
Page 1 of 7

Burgan

(Away)
20 Aug
Sporty FC
2 : 4
Burgan
17 Aug
Burgan
4 : 1
Al Shamiya FC
14 Aug
Khaitan
0 : 0
Burgan
11 Aug
Yarmouk
3 : 1
Burgan
07 Aug
Burgan
0 : 0
Al Sulaibikhat
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Sulaibikhat 21 13 5 3 38:16 44
2 Al Sahel 21 13 5 3 35:16 44
3 Yarmouk 21 13 4 4 42:20 43
4 Al-Jazira 21 11 5 5 41:24 38
5 Khaitan 21 7 6 8 23:20 27
6 Burgan 21 5 8 8 26:30 23
7 Al Shamiya FC 21 3 1 17 19:63 10
8 Sporty FC 21 2 0 19 14:49 6
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Main)