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Al Sahel vs Burgan

Kuwait Kuwait

Division 1
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Division 1 game between Al Sahel and Burgan finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al Sahel.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Al Sahel
17%
Draws
13%
Burgan
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Al Sahel

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Al Sahel come out ahead of Burgan on wins alone.
  • Al Sahel are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Al Sahel Clean Sheet 68%
Burgan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Sahel Burgan
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 11 7
Draws 7 11
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1.75 1.63
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 31, 2025 Division 1
Al Sahel vs Burgan
2:1
Sep 21, 2025 Division 1
Al Sahel vs Burgan
0:0
May 18, 2025 Division 1
Burgan vs Al Sahel
0:1
Apr 29, 2025 Division 1
Al Sahel vs Burgan
0:2
Feb 27, 2025 Division 1
Burgan vs Al Sahel
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Sahel 77 / 100
Burgan 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Sahel Burgan

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAH Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Sahel's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Burgan conceded in 74% of 31 recent games.

Burgan lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 1.20 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Al Sahel VS Burgan
1.75 Goals Scored 1.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Yarmouk1392230:1229
2Al Sahel1392224:1229
3Al Sulaibikhat1391328:1428
4Al-Jazira1373326:1824
5Khaitan1352614:1517
6Burgan1335517:2114
7Al Shamiya FC13211014:407
8Sporty FC1300136:270