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Al Sahel vs Safa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Lebanon Lebanon

Premier League
Al Sahel Logo

Al Sahel

Tue, Oct 13, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Safa Logo

Safa

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Al Sahel host Safa in the Premier League. Little to choose between these two on current form. Al Sahel have averaged 1.3 scored and 0.97 conceded recently, against Safa's 1.62 scored and 1.09 conceded. Past meetings favor Safa slightly — 1-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jun 12, 2026, ending 0:1. Model xG sits at 1.38 vs 1.50, favoring Safa. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Al Sahel
20%
Draws
47%
Safa
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Safa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Al Sahel haven't matched Safa's recent run of results.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Al Sahel taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Al Sahel Clean Sheet 16%
Safa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Sahel Safa
Matches Played 33 34
Wins 14 18
Draws 8 5
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.3 1.62
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.09
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 12, 2026 Premier League
Al Sahel vs Safa
0:1
Dec 30, 2025 Premier League
Safa vs Al Sahel
1:0
Jan 31, 2025 Premier League
Safa vs Al Sahel
2:0
Aug 25, 2023 Premier League
Al Sahel vs Safa
1:1
Nov 26, 2022 Premier League
Safa vs Al Sahel
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Sahel 41 / 100
Safa 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Sahel Safa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Sahel scored in 64% of their last 33 games.

Safa let in goals in 71% of their last 34 matches.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Al Sahel stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al Sahel VS Safa
1.13 Goals Scored 1.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Sahel

(Home)
02 Jul
Jwayya SC
0 : 0
Al Sahel
28 Jun
Al Ahed
4 : 2
Al Sahel
24 Jun
Al Sahel
3 : 0
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
16 Jun
Al Sahel
2 : 0
Racing
12 Jun
Al Sahel
0 : 1
Safa
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Safa

(Away)
03 Jul
Safa
4 : 0
Al Mabarrah
28 Jun
Jwayya SC
1 : 1
Safa
24 Jun
Al Ahed
4 : 1
Safa
20 Jun
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
2 : 4
Safa
12 Jun
Al Sahel
0 : 1
Safa
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Ahed 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Tripoli SC 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Al Ansar 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Al Hikma 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 Nejmeh SC 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
6 Safa 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
7 Al Mabarrah 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
8 Al Sahel 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
9 Tadamon 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
10 Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
11 Al Riyadi Abbasiyah 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
12 Jwayya SC 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Premier League (Winners stage)
Relegation - Premier League (Losers stage)