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Al Sahel vs Tadamon - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Lebanon Lebanon

Premier League
Our Tip

Match Events

83' Event
Namedi L.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Al Sahel and Tadamon finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tadamon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Al Sahel
20%
Draws
47%
Tadamon
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Tadamon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Al Sahel carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 33% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Al Sahel Clean Sheet 68%
Tadamon Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Sahel Tadamon
Matches Played 34 36
Wins 14 10
Draws 8 11
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 1.26 0.94
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 8, 2026 Premier League
Al Sahel vs Tadamon
0:1
Jan 31, 2026 Premier League
Tadamon vs Al Sahel
1:2
Sep 27, 2025 Premier League
Al Sahel vs Tadamon
0:0
Jan 26, 2025 Premier League
Al Sahel vs Tadamon
0:2
May 22, 2024 Premier League
Tadamon vs Al Sahel
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Sahel Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Tadamon Compare

Top Goalscorer Namedi L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Sahel 41 / 100
Tadamon 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Sahel Tadamon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Sahel Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Al Sahel scored in 62% of their last 34 outings.

Tadamon let in goals in 61% of their last 36 matches.

Al Sahel went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 1.40 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Al Sahel VS Tadamon
0.88 Goals Scored 0.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Sahel

(Home)
08 Oct
Al Sahel
0 : 1
Tadamon
02 Jul
Jwayya SC
0 : 0
Al Sahel
28 Jun
Al Ahed
4 : 2
Al Sahel
24 Jun
Al Sahel
3 : 0
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
16 Jun
Al Sahel
2 : 0
Racing
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Tadamon

(Away)
08 Oct
Al Sahel
0 : 1
Tadamon
29 Jul
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
2 : 1
Tadamon
21 Jul
Tadamon
1 : 0
Racing
17 Jul
Tadamon
0 : 0
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
10 Jul
Racing
1 : 3
Tadamon
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jwayya SC 1 1 0 0 3:0 3
2 Nejmeh SC 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
3 Al Ansar 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
4 Safa 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
5 Tadamon 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
6 Al Ahed 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
7 Tripoli SC 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
8 Al Hikma 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
9 Al Riyadi Abbasiyah 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
10 Al Sahel 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
11 Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
12 Al Mabarrah 1 0 0 1 0:3 0
Promotion - Premier League (Winners stage)
Relegation - Premier League (Losers stage)