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Al-Sahel vs Tuwaiq Prediction & H2H Stats

Saudi Arabia Saudi Arabia

Division 2 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 2025/2026 game between Al-Sahel and Tuwaiq finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tuwaiq.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Al-Sahel
20%
Draws
28%
Tuwaiq
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Al-Sahel

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Al-Sahel carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Al-Sahel's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Al-Sahel Clean Sheet 20%
Tuwaiq Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al-Sahel Tuwaiq
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 6
Draws 8 10
Losses 7 14
Goals Scored 1.6 1.2
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2026 Division 2
Al-Sahel vs Tuwaiq
0:3
Nov 23, 2025 Division 2
Tuwaiq vs Al-Sahel
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al-Sahel 85 / 100
Tuwaiq 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al-Sahel Tuwaiq

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al-Sahel Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Tuwaiq conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Al-Sahel stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Al-Sahel scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Al-Sahel VS Tuwaiq
1.75 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Al-Sahel

(Home)
10 Apr
Al-Sadd
0 : 4
Al-Sahel
04 Apr
Al-Sahel
2 : 1
Jerash
28 Mar
Al-Sahel
2 : 0
Najran
24 Mar
Al-Sahel
1 : 1
Jubbah
14 Mar
Al Najoom
2 : 2
Al-Sahel
Page 1 of 6

Tuwaiq

(Away)
10 Apr
Al-Shoalah
4 : 1
Tuwaiq
04 Apr
Tuwaiq
4 : 1
Al Rawdhah
28 Mar
Al Ain
2 : 1
Tuwaiq
14 Mar
Tuwaiq
1 : 3
Al-Washm
07 Mar
Al Entesar
1 : 2
Tuwaiq
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Jeel 30 18 4 8 48:35 58
2 Al Ain 30 15 10 5 50:34 55
3 Al-Sahel 30 15 8 7 48:29 53
4 Al-Washm 30 13 9 8 50:34 48
5 Najran 30 13 7 10 44:38 46
6 Jerash 30 13 7 10 52:46 46
7 Al Entesar 30 10 12 8 38:36 42
8 Al Najoom 30 6 21 3 36:31 39
9 Jubbah 30 9 11 10 40:36 38
10 Afief 30 9 9 12 35:36 36
11 Al Rawdhah 30 9 8 13 31:43 35
12 Al-Shoalah 30 8 11 11 44:48 35
13 Al Taraji 30 8 10 12 42:57 34
14 Al-Sharq 30 6 15 9 32:36 33
15 Tuwaiq 30 6 10 14 36:51 28
16 Al-Sadd 30 2 8 20 29:65 14
Promotion - Division 1 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Saqer 30 21 6 3 59:19 69
2 Hajer 30 20 6 4 47:20 66
3 Al Loa 30 19 8 3 67:32 65
4 Mudhar Club 30 13 10 7 37:26 49
5 Al Rayan 30 14 7 9 50:41 49
6 Al Nairea 30 13 9 8 50:37 48
7 Hottain 30 13 6 11 39:37 45
8 Al Safa 30 12 5 13 32:44 41
9 Al Qalah 30 11 7 12 32:32 40
10 Al-Kawkab 30 11 7 12 33:39 40
11 Al Gottah 30 9 10 11 43:41 37
12 Wej Sports Club 30 8 11 11 42:35 35
13 Al Qous 30 8 9 13 36:41 33
14 Arar 30 8 3 19 38:62 27
15 Bisha 30 2 7 21 21:58 10
16 Ohod 30 1 3 26 16:78 6
Promotion - Division 1 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)