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Al Sahel vs Yarmouk

Kuwait Kuwait

Division 1
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Yarmouk in this Division 1 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Yarmouk.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Al Sahel
35%
Draws
40%
Yarmouk
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Yarmouk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Yarmouk average 1.83 goals a game right now, well clear of Al Sahel's 1.27.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Division 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Al Sahel Clean Sheet 20%
Yarmouk Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Sahel Yarmouk
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 15
Draws 8 5
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 1.27 1.83
Goals Conceded 0.77 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 20, 2026 Division 1
Al Sahel vs Yarmouk
2:3
Jul 25, 2026 Division 1
Yarmouk vs Al Sahel
0:1
Nov 3, 2025 Division 1
Al Sahel vs Yarmouk
2:1
May 3, 2024 Division 1
Al Sahel vs Yarmouk
2:0
Mar 4, 2024 Division 1
Yarmouk vs Al Sahel
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Sahel 36 / 100
Yarmouk 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Sahel Yarmouk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Yarmouk Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Sahel found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Yarmouk conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Al Sahel has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Al Sahel VS Yarmouk
1.25 Goals Scored 1.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Sahel

(Home)
06 Sept
Al Salmiya
1 : 0
Al Sahel
01 Sept
Kazma SC
0 : 0
Al Sahel
27 Aug
Al Sahel
1 : 0
Al Sulaibikhat
20 Aug
Al Sahel
2 : 3
Yarmouk
17 Aug
Al Sulaibikhat
0 : 0
Al Sahel
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Yarmouk

(Away)
20 Aug
Al Sahel
2 : 3
Yarmouk
17 Aug
Al-Jazira
2 : 0
Yarmouk
14 Aug
Yarmouk
1 : 1
Al Sulaibikhat
11 Aug
Yarmouk
3 : 1
Burgan
07 Aug
Yarmouk
0 : 0
Khaitan
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Sulaibikhat 21 13 5 3 38:16 44
2 Al Sahel 21 13 5 3 35:16 44
3 Yarmouk 21 13 4 4 42:20 43
4 Al-Jazira 21 11 5 5 41:24 38
5 Khaitan 21 7 6 8 23:20 27
6 Burgan 21 5 8 8 26:30 23
7 Al Shamiya FC 21 3 1 17 19:63 10
8 Sporty FC 21 2 0 19 14:49 6
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Main)