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Stadium Background

Al Sailiya vs Al-Sadd

Qatar Qatar

QSL 2025/2026 Hamad bin Khalifa Stadium, Doha
Al Sailiya Logo

Al Sailiya

1 - 3
FT
Al-Sadd Logo

Al-Sadd

Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Afif A.
Assist: Ali H.
22'
Mujica R.
39'
Sub
Abweny A. In: El Hannach Y.
Out: Abweny A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Al-Sadd in this QSL 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Al-Sadd.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Al Sailiya
15%
Draws
85%
Al-Sadd
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Al-Sadd

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Al-Sadd have won more games recently than Al Sailiya.
  • Al-Sadd are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Al-Sadd here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Al Sailiya Clean Sheet 20%
Al-Sadd Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Sailiya Al-Sadd
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 8 21
Draws 4 2
Losses 17 8
Goals Scored 1.17 2.61
Goals Conceded 2.1 1.84
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 10, 2026 QSL
Al Sailiya vs Al-Sadd
3:6
Apr 8, 2026 QSL
Al Sailiya vs Al-Sadd
1:3
Nov 22, 2025 QSL
Al-Sadd vs Al Sailiya
3:1
Sep 4, 2023 QFA Cup
Al Sailiya vs Al-Sadd
7:0
Mar 3, 2023 QSL
Al-Sadd vs Al Sailiya
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Sailiya Compare

Top Goalscorer El Ghazi A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Al-Sadd Compare

Top Goalscorer Afif A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Roberto Firmino
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Sailiya 10 / 100
Al-Sadd 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Sailiya Al-Sadd

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al-Sadd Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al-Sadd's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 31 matches.

Games between these two average 5.60 goals.

Al Sailiya scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Difficult form: Al-Sadd registered 1 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al Sailiya VS Al-Sadd
0.75 Goals Scored 2.5
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Sailiya

(Home)
20 Sept
Al Wakra
1 : 0
Al Sailiya
10 Sept
Al Sailiya
3 : 6
Al-Sadd
03 Sept
Al Sailiya
0 : 2
Al Arabi (Qatar)
29 Aug
Al-Shahaniya
3 : 2
Al Sailiya
22 Aug
Al-Duhail
2 : 0
Al Sailiya
Page 1 of 6

Al-Sadd

(Away)
14 Sept
Esteghlal TEH
3 : 0
Al-Sadd
10 Sept
Al Sailiya
3 : 6
Al-Sadd
05 Sept
Al-Sadd
4 : 1
Al-Gharafa
01 Sept
Al-Sadd
2 : 1
Al-Gharafa
28 Aug
Qatar SC
2 : 6
Al-Sadd
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al-Sadd 22 14 3 5 56:30 45
2 Shamal 22 12 4 6 39:28 40
3 Al Rayyan 22 11 5 6 46:32 38
4 Al-Gharafa 22 11 3 8 36:36 36
5 Al-Duhail 22 9 6 7 40:27 33
6 Al Arabi (Qatar) 22 9 5 8 37:41 32
7 Al Wakra 22 8 6 8 36:34 30
8 Qatar SC 22 8 5 9 32:36 29
9 Al Ahli 22 8 2 12 34:43 26
10 Al Sailiya 22 6 4 12 25:38 22
11 Al-Shahaniya 22 6 3 13 22:39 21
12 Umm-Salal 22 6 2 14 37:56 20
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Relegation - QSL 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - QSL 2 (Main)