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Al Sailiya vs Umm-Salal

Qatar Qatar

QSL 2025/2026 Hamad bin Khalifa Stadium, Doha
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Match Events

24' Event
Cristo
Assist: Al Rashidi A.
45'
Udosen E.
48'
Al Bustamy M.

AI Match Summary

The QSL 2025/2026 game between Al Sailiya and Umm-Salal finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Umm-Salal.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
Al Sailiya
20%
Draws
73%
Umm-Salal
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Umm-Salal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Al Sailiya haven't matched Umm-Salal's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Umm-Salal a 73% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Al Sailiya Clean Sheet 20%
Umm-Salal Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Sailiya Umm-Salal
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 12
Draws 4 4
Losses 17 13
Goals Scored 1.14 1.83
Goals Conceded 2.07 2.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 20, 2026 QSL
Al Sailiya vs Umm-Salal
0:1
Oct 4, 2025 QSL Cup
Umm-Salal vs Al Sailiya
3:1
Sep 21, 2025 QSL
Umm-Salal vs Al Sailiya
2:1
Feb 13, 2023 QSL
Al Sailiya vs Umm-Salal
1:1
Oct 14, 2022 QSL Cup
Umm-Salal vs Al Sailiya
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Sailiya Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Umm-Salal Compare

Top Goalscorer Cristo
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Sailiya 20 / 100
Umm-Salal 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Sailiya Umm-Salal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Umm-Salal Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Umm-Salal has conceded goals in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Attacking prowess: Al Sailiya scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Al Sailiya went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al Sailiya VS Umm-Salal
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
2.88 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Sailiya

(Home)
28 Sept
Al Sailiya
1 : 1
Al Rayyan
20 Sept
Al Wakra
1 : 0
Al Sailiya
10 Sept
Al Sailiya
3 : 6
Al Sadd
03 Sept
Al Sailiya
0 : 2
Al Arabi (Qatar)
29 Aug
Al Shahaniya
3 : 2
Al Sailiya
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Umm-Salal

(Away)
29 Sept
Al Khor
0 : 2
Umm-Salal
21 Sept
Umm-Salal
1 : 0
Al Kharitiyath
07 Sept
Umm-Salal
1 : 5
Al Khor
30 Aug
Al Mesaimeer
1 : 2
Umm-Salal
25 Aug
Umm-Salal
1 : 1
Qatar U23
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Sadd 22 14 3 5 56:30 45
2 Shamal 22 12 4 6 39:28 40
3 Al Rayyan 22 11 5 6 46:32 38
4 Al Gharafa 22 11 3 8 36:36 36
5 Al Duhail 22 9 6 7 40:27 33
6 Al Arabi (Qatar) 22 9 5 8 37:41 32
7 Al Wakra 22 8 6 8 36:34 30
8 Qatar SC 22 8 5 9 32:36 29
9 Al Ahli 22 8 2 12 34:43 26
10 Al Sailiya 22 6 4 12 25:38 22
11 Al Shahaniya 22 6 3 13 22:39 21
12 Umm-Salal 22 6 2 14 37:56 20
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Relegation - QSL 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - QSL 2 (Main)