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Al-Samail vs Al Nasr Prediction & H2H Stats

Oman Oman

Professional League 2025/2026
Al-Samail Logo

Al-Samail

0 - 1
FT
Al Nasr Logo

Al Nasr

Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Fadil S.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Al Nasr in this Professional League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Al Nasr.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Al-Samail
35%
Draws
47%
Al Nasr
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Al Nasr

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Al-Samail haven't matched Al Nasr's recent run of results.
  • Al Nasr are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Al-Samail Clean Sheet 23%
Al Nasr Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al-Samail Al Nasr
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 16
Draws 9 8
Losses 15 6
Goals Scored 1.03 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.73 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 1, 2026 FA Cup
Al Nasr vs Al-Samail
3:3
May 18, 2026 Professional League
Al Nasr vs Al-Samail
1:1
Feb 3, 2026 Professional League
Al-Samail vs Al Nasr
0:1
Oct 5, 2025 FA Cup
Al-Samail vs Al Nasr
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al-Samail Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Al Nasr Compare

Top Goalscorer Fadil S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al-Samail 16 / 100
Al Nasr 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al-Samail Al Nasr

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Nasr Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Al-Samail scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.25 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Al-Samail stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Al Nasr's defensive record shows goals conceded in 57% of 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Al-Samail VS Al Nasr
0.63 Goals Scored 1.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Al-Samail

(Home)
01 Oct
Al Nasr
3 : 3
Al-Samail
25 Sept
Al-Samail
5 : 5
Dhofar
20 Sept
Sur Club
3 : 1
Al-Samail
10 Sept
Al-Samail
0 : 0
Fanja SC
05 Sept
Ibri
4 : 0
Al-Samail
Page 1 of 6

Al Nasr

(Away)
01 Oct
Al Nasr
3 : 3
Al-Samail
25 Sept
Fanja SC
3 : 1
Al Nasr
21 Sept
Al Nasr
2 : 2
Bahla
12 Sept
Al Nasr
2 : 0
Al-Msnaa
06 Sept
Dhofar
1 : 2
Al Nasr
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Seeb 26 21 4 1 59:14 67
2 Al-Shabab 26 17 3 6 51:27 54
3 Al Nasr 26 16 5 5 35:20 53
4 Al Nahda 26 13 5 8 31:23 44
5 Bahla 26 12 4 10 39:32 40
6 Oman Club 26 11 6 9 27:28 39
7 Sohar 26 10 8 8 35:28 38
8 Sur Club 26 8 8 10 34:37 32
9 Dhofar 26 7 6 13 23:30 27
10 Al-Samail 26 6 8 12 25:39 26
11 Saham 26 7 5 14 22:44 26
12 Ibri 26 7 2 17 27:52 23
13 Al Khaboora 26 4 10 12 23:35 22
14 Al-Rustaq 26 3 6 17 24:46 15
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