Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Al Shabab vs Al Hilal

Saudi Arabia Saudi Arabia

Saudi Professional League Al-Shabab Club Stadium, Riyadh
Al Shabab Logo

Al Shabab

0 - 2
FT
Al Hilal Logo

Al Hilal

Our Tip

Match Events

45'
Al Thani M.
46'
Sub
Podence D. In: Al Oboud A.
Out: Podence D.
53' Event
Milinkovic-Savic S.
Assist: Mahzari M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Al Hilal in this Saudi Professional League matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Al Hilal.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

14%
Al Shabab
30%
Draws
56%
Al Hilal
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Al Hilal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Al Shabab haven't matched Al Hilal's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Al Hilal a 56% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Al Hilal here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Al Shabab Clean Sheet 10%
Al Hilal Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Shabab Al Hilal
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 9 21
Draws 10 6
Losses 12 3
Goals Scored 1.81 2.37
Goals Conceded 1.68 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 4, 2026 Saudi Professional League
Al Shabab vs Al Hilal
0:2
Feb 27, 2026 Saudi Professional League
Al Shabab vs Al Hilal
3:5
Oct 31, 2025 Saudi Professional League
Al Hilal vs Al Shabab
1:0
Apr 21, 2025 Saudi Professional League
Al Hilal vs Al Shabab
2:2
Nov 30, 2024 Saudi Professional League
Al Shabab vs Al Hilal
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Shabab Compare

Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Al Hilal Compare

Top Goalscorer Milinkovic-Savic S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Shabab 10 / 100
Al Hilal 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Shabab Al Hilal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Hilal Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:8
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Al Shabab scored in 77% of their last 31 outings.

Recent resilience: Al Shabab stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Al Hilal conceded in 53% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Al Shabab VS Al Hilal
1.63 Goals Scored 2.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Shabab

(Home)
12 Sept
Al Shabab
0 : 0
Al Fayha
09 Sept
Al Kholood
2 : 1
Al Shabab
04 Sept
Al Shabab
0 : 2
Al Hilal
30 Aug
Al Hazem Rass
1 : 1
Al Shabab
25 Aug
Al Shabab
3 : 3
Al Riyadh
Page 1 of 7

Al Hilal

(Away)
15 Sept
Al Hilal
2 : 1
Al-Gharafa
12 Sept
Al Taawon
0 : 6
Al Hilal
07 Sept
Al Hilal
0 : 2
Neom SC
04 Sept
Al Shabab
0 : 2
Al Hilal
01 Sept
Al Hilal
3 : 0
Al Ahli SC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Hilal 7 6 0 1 23:5 18
2 Al Ittihad 7 5 2 0 12:6 17
3 Al Nassr 7 5 1 1 16:7 16
4 Al Qadsiah 7 5 1 1 16:8 16
5 Neom SC 7 5 0 2 13:6 15
6 Al Ahli SC 7 4 0 3 16:10 12
7 Al Kholood 7 3 3 1 12:10 12
8 Al Diriyah 7 3 2 2 7:5 11
9 Al Ettifaq FC 7 3 2 2 11:11 11
10 Al Hazem Rass 7 2 2 3 7:9 8
11 Al Riyadh 7 2 2 3 8:16 8
12 Al Fayha 7 1 3 3 7:11 6
13 Al Khaleej 7 0 5 2 3:10 5
14 Al Shabab 7 0 4 3 6:11 4
15 Al Fateh 7 0 3 4 4:11 3
16 Al-Faisaly 7 0 3 4 5:13 3
17 Al Taawon 7 0 3 4 3:12 3
18 Abha 7 0 2 5 5:13 2
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Gulf Club Champions League 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Division 1 2027/2028 (Main)