Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Al-Shabab vs Al Nahda

Oman Oman

FA Cup
Al-Shabab Logo

Al-Shabab

1 - 1
FT
Al Nahda Logo

Al Nahda

Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Al Rushadi H.
90' Event
Al Rawahi M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-1. This leg finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Al-Shabab
35%
Draws
34%
Al Nahda
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Al-Shabab lately — more wins on the board than Al Nahda.
  • Al-Shabab are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Al-Shabab have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Al Nahda, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Al-Shabab Clean Sheet 20%
Al Nahda Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al-Shabab Al Nahda
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 16 12
Draws 5 9
Losses 7 8
Goals Scored 2 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.18 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Professional League
Al-Shabab vs Al Nahda
2:3
Aug 24, 2026 FA Cup
Al-Shabab vs Al Nahda
1:1
May 23, 2026 Professional League
Al Nahda vs Al-Shabab
2:3
Feb 25, 2026 Professional League
Al-Shabab vs Al Nahda
3:1
Oct 6, 2025 FA Cup
Al Nahda vs Al-Shabab
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al-Shabab Compare

Top Goalscorer Al Rushadi H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Al Nahda Compare

Top Goalscorer Al Rawahi M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al-Shabab 42 / 100
Al Nahda 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al-Shabab Al Nahda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Al-Shabab scored in 68% of their last 28 games.

Al Nahda has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Al-Shabab went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al-Shabab VS Al Nahda
1 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Al-Shabab

(Home)
11 Sept
Oman Club
0 : 2
Al-Shabab
05 Sept
Al-Shabab
2 : 3
Al Nahda
31 Aug
Sur Club
2 : 3
Al-Shabab
24 Aug
Al-Shabab
1 : 1
Al Nahda
19 Aug
Al Seeb
0 : 0
Al-Shabab
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Al Nahda

(Away)
21 Sept
Al Nahda
1 : 1
Saham
16 Sept
Al Nahda
1 : 1
Al Taawon
10 Sept
Al Nahda
1 : 1
Al Seeb
05 Sept
Al-Shabab
2 : 3
Al Nahda
30 Aug
Al Nahda
1 : 0
Al-Msnaa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bahla 2 2 0 0 8:0 6
2 Dhofar 3 2 0 1 5:4 6
3 Oman Club 2 1 1 0 3:1 4
4 Sur Club 3 1 1 1 5:8 4
5 Fanja SC 3 0 2 1 3:5 2
6 Al Nasr 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
7 Al-Samail 2 0 0 2 1:5 0
Promotion - FA Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Seeb 3 2 1 0 4:0 7
2 Sohar 2 2 0 0 5:2 6
3 Al Nahda 2 1 1 0 4:2 4
4 Al-Shabab 2 0 2 0 1:1 2
5 Saham 2 0 0 2 1:3 0
6 Al-Msnaa 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
7 Ibri 2 0 0 2 1:6 0
Promotion - FA Cup (Play Offs)