Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Al Shabab vs Al Nahda

Asia Asia

Gulf Club Champions League Al-Shabab Club Stadium, Riyadh
Al Shabab Logo

Al Shabab

1 - 1
FT
Al Nahda Logo

Al Nahda

Our Tip

Match Events

59'
Al Harthi A.
59'
Sub
Al Saadi N. In: Al Subiani F.
Out: Al Saadi N.
61'
Marcelo Grohe
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Gulf Club Champions League matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Al Shabab
35%
Draws
49%
Al Nahda
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Al Nahda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Al Nahda have won more games recently than Al Shabab.
  • Model gives Al Nahda a 49% chance of winning this.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Al Shabab Clean Sheet 16%
Al Nahda Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Shabab Al Nahda
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 12
Draws 9 9
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 1.93 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.76 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 10, 2026 Gulf Club Champions League
Al Nahda vs Al Shabab
1:1
Oct 1, 2025 Gulf Club Champions League
Al Shabab vs Al Nahda
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Shabab Compare

Top Goalscorer Brownhill J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Al Nahda Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Shabab 28 / 100
Al Nahda 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Shabab Al Nahda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Nahda Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Shabab scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Al Nahda has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Al Shabab stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al Shabab VS Al Nahda
1.75 Goals Scored 1.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Shabab

(Home)
12 Sept
Al Shabab
0 : 0
Al Fayha
09 Sept
Al Kholood
2 : 1
Al Shabab
04 Sept
Al Shabab
0 : 2
Al Hilal
30 Aug
Al Hazem Rass
1 : 1
Al Shabab
25 Aug
Al Shabab
3 : 3
Al Riyadh
Page 1 of 6

Al Nahda

(Away)
21 Sept
Al Nahda
1 : 1
Saham
16 Sept
Al Nahda
1 : 1
Al Taawon
10 Sept
Al Nahda
1 : 1
Al Seeb
05 Sept
Al-Shabab
2 : 3
Al Nahda
30 Aug
Al Nahda
1 : 0
Al-Msnaa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zakho 6 4 1 1 9:4 13
2 Al Qadisiya 6 3 1 2 5:5 10
3 Al Ain 6 3 0 3 6:5 9
4 Sitra 6 0 2 4 4:10 2
Promotion - Gulf Club Champions League (Play Offs: 1/2-finals)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Rayyan 6 3 3 0 15:5 12
2 Al Shabab 6 1 4 1 18:7 7
3 Al Nahda 6 1 4 1 6:7 7
4 Tadamone Hadramout 6 1 1 4 3:23 4
Promotion - Gulf Club Champions League (Play Offs: 1/2-finals)