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Al Shabab vs Al Qadisiya - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Kuwait Kuwait

Premier League
Tue, Oct 27, 2026
VS
04:50 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Al Shabab host Al Qadisiya in the Premier League. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Al Shabab have averaged 0.93 scored and 1.9 conceded recently, against Al Qadisiya's 1.72 scored and 0.97 conceded. Head-to-head, Al Shabab have won 0 to Al Qadisiya's 4, with 1 draws. They last met on Jan 15, 2026, ending 4:1. The numbers (1.28 xG vs 1.54) point toward Al Qadisiya. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Al Shabab
15%
Draws
48%
Al Qadisiya
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Al Qadisiya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Al Qadisiya have won more games recently than Al Shabab.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Al Shabab taking it.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Al Qadisiya have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Al Shabab Clean Sheet 15%
Al Qadisiya Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Shabab Al Qadisiya
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 18
Draws 8 4
Losses 14 7
Goals Scored 0.93 1.72
Goals Conceded 1.9 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.28 1.54
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 15, 2026 Premier League
Al Qadisiya vs Al Shabab
4:1
Jan 7, 2026 Crown Prince Cup
Al Shabab vs Al Qadisiya
0:2
Sep 18, 2025 Premier League
Al Shabab vs Al Qadisiya
1:1
Mar 7, 2024 Premier League
Al Qadisiya vs Al Shabab
7:0
Dec 5, 2023 Premier League
Al Shabab vs Al Qadisiya
0:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Shabab 41 / 100
Al Qadisiya 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Shabab Al Qadisiya

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Al Shabab scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

Recent resilience: Al Shabab stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Al Qadisiya has conceded goals in 59% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Al Shabab VS Al Qadisiya
1.43 Goals Scored 1.38
1.71 Goals Conceded 1.13
86% Over 1.5 75%
71% Over 2.5 50%
43% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Shabab

(Home)
06 Sept
Al Shabab
2 : 3
Kazma SC
31 Aug
Al Sulaibikhat
1 : 1
Al Shabab
26 Aug
Al Shabab
3 : 2
Al Jahra
26 Jun
Al Tadamon
1 : 3
Al Shabab
21 Jun
Al Shabab
1 : 2
Al Jahra
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Al Qadisiya

(Away)
24 Sept
Al Qadisiya
1 : 2
Al Fahaheel
04 Sept
Al Qadisiya
3 : 0
Al Naser
31 Aug
Al Qadisiya
0 : 1
Al Kuwait
25 Aug
Al Fahaheel
1 : 2
Al Qadisiya
04 Aug
Al Qadisiya
3 : 1
Al Orubah
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Kuwait 4 3 1 0 12:4 10
2 Kazma SC 4 2 2 0 7:4 8
3 Al Qadisiya 3 2 0 1 5:2 6
4 Al Salmiya 3 2 0 1 4:2 6
5 Al Naser 4 2 0 2 5:12 6
6 Al Shabab 3 1 1 1 6:6 4
7 Al Sahel 3 1 1 1 1:1 4
8 Al Fahaheel 3 1 0 2 6:5 3
9 Al Arabi (Kuwait) 4 0 3 1 8:9 3
10 Al Jahra 3 1 0 2 4:5 3
11 Al Sulaibikhat 3 0 2 1 4:5 2
12 Al Tadamon 3 0 0 3 2:9 0
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Arab Club Champions Cup 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Gulf Club Champions League 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Division 1 2027/2028 (Main)