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Al Shabab vs Al Qadisiya

Kuwait Kuwait

Crown Prince Cup
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Al Shabab play Al Qadisiya in the Crown Prince Cup. It looks like a close match. Recently, Al Shabab averaged 0.9 goals scored and 1.74 conceded. Al Qadisiya averaged 1.69 goals scored and 1.08 conceded. In past meetings, Al Shabab won 0, Al Qadisiya won 4, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jan 15, 2026 ended 4:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.79 for Al Shabab and 1.56 for Al Qadisiya. This points to a Al Qadisiya double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Al Shabab
26%
Draws
51%
Al Qadisiya
Draw rate projection: 26% Favored: Al Qadisiya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / High Confidence
  • Al Shabab picked up more points recently compared to Al Qadisiya.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.79 vs 1.56 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 79%
Over 2.5 Goals 49%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 46%
Al Shabab Clean Sheet 15%
Al Qadisiya Clean Sheet 18%
First Half Goal 71%
Second Half Goal 75%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Shabab Al Qadisiya
Matches Played 31 36
Wins 7 20
Draws 10 8
Losses 14 8
Goals Scored 0.9 1.69
Goals Conceded 1.74 1.08
Expected Goals (xG) 0.71 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.86 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 15, 2026 Premier League
Al Qadisiya vs Al Shabab
4:1
Jan 7, 2026 Crown Prince Cup
Al Shabab vs Al Qadisiya
0:2
Sep 18, 2025 Premier League
Al Shabab vs Al Qadisiya
1:1
Mar 7, 2024 Premier League
Al Qadisiya vs Al Shabab
7:0
Dec 5, 2023 Premier League
Al Shabab vs Al Qadisiya
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Shabab Compare

Avg xG / game 0.55
Avg xA / game 0.35

Al Qadisiya Compare

Top Goalscorer Mbengue A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Shehab A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Shabab 24 / 100
Al Qadisiya 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Shabab Al Qadisiya

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Al Qadisiya or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +53.4%
6.67
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +14.2%
2.33
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Al Shabab attacking → ← attacking Al Qadisiya

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Shabab scored in 61% of their last 31 games.

Al Qadisiya let in goals in 56% of their last 36 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Al Shabab went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Al Qadisiya lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

31 Points in last 5 68
0.71 Goals expected (xG) 1.25
1.86 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88