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Al-Shabbab vs Malkia

Bahrain Bahrain

King's Cup
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Khalaf H.
28' Event
90' Event

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-1, with Al-Shabbab advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Al-Shabbab
6%
Draws
90%
Malkia
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Malkia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Malkia carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Malkia are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Malkia arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Malkia, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%
Al-Shabbab Clean Sheet 23%
Malkia Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al-Shabbab Malkia
Matches Played 31 33
Wins 7 13
Draws 9 8
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 0.5 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.25 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Premier League
Malkia vs Al-Shabbab
1:0
Feb 1, 2026 King's Cup
Al-Shabbab vs Malkia
2:1
Nov 7, 2025 Premier League
Al-Shabbab vs Malkia
0:1
Apr 15, 2025 Premier League
Malkia vs Al-Shabbab
0:0
Oct 3, 2024 Premier League
Al-Shabbab vs Malkia
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al-Shabbab Compare

Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Malkia Compare

Top Goalscorer Khalaf H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al-Shabbab 10 / 100
Malkia 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al-Shabbab Malkia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Al-Shabbab scored in 61% of their last 31 outings.

Malkia let in goals in 64% of their last 33 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Al-Shabbab went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al-Shabbab VS Malkia
0.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Al-Shabbab

(Home)
15 May
Al-Hidd
1 : 0
Al-Shabbab
10 May
Al-Shabbab
1 : 3
Sitra
05 May
Al Riffa
4 : 0
Al-Shabbab
28 Apr
Al-Shabbab
1 : 0
Bahrain SC
18 Apr
Malkia
1 : 0
Al-Shabbab
Page 1 of 7

Malkia

(Away)
16 May
Sitra
1 : 0
Malkia
11 May
Malkia
0 : 2
Al Riffa
03 May
Bahrain SC
0 : 4
Malkia
28 Apr
Malkia
3 : 0
Al-Najma
18 Apr
Malkia
1 : 0
Al-Shabbab
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Al Khalidiyah-
TBD-
Umm Al Hassam0
Al-Hala2
Aali Club-
TBD-
TBD-
Al-Najma-
Bahrain SC-
TBD-
TBD-
Al-Hidd-
East Riffa1
Manama Club2
TBD-
Al Riffa-
Al-Muharraq-
TBD-
Isa Town3
Al Reef2
Al-Shabbab-
TBD-
TBD-
Malkia-
Al-Budaiya-
TBD-
TBD-
Al-Ahli-
Al-Ittihad1
Al-Ittifaq5
TBD-
Sitra-
1/8-finals
Al Khalidiyah7
Al-Hala0
Aali Club2
Al-Najma0
Bahrain SC1
Al-Hidd0
Manama Club2
Al Riffa3
Al-Muharraq6
Isa Town0
Al-Shabbab2
Malkia1
Al-Budaiya0
Al-Ahli1
Al-Ittifaq2
Sitra0
Quarter-finals
Al Khalidiyah2
Aali Club0
Bahrain SC1
Al Riffa4
Al-Muharraq3
Al-Shabbab0
Al-Ahli3
Al-Ittifaq2
Semi-finals
Al Khalidiyah3
Al Riffa4
Al-Muharraq2
Al-Ahli1
Final
Al Riffa1
Al-Muharraq2