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Al Shahaniya vs Lusail - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Qatar Qatar

QSL Jassim Bin Hamad Stadium, Doha
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
02:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Al Shahaniya host Lusail in the QSL. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Al Shahaniya at 1.24 goals for, 1.72 against; Lusail at 1.5 for, 1.68 against. Past meetings favor Al Shahaniya slightly — 2-0-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Dec 6, 2025, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 1.56 vs 1.50, favoring Al Shahaniya. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Al Shahaniya
35%
Draws
37%
Lusail
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Lusail

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Al Shahaniya carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 37% — that's where the model lands on Lusail taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Al Shahaniya Clean Sheet 16%
Lusail Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Shahaniya Lusail
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 11 8
Draws 4 9
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 1.24 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.72 1.68
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 6, 2025 QSL Cup
Lusail vs Al Shahaniya
1:1
Feb 12, 2024 QSL 2
Al Shahaniya vs Lusail
1:0
Oct 1, 2023 QSL 2
Lusail vs Al Shahaniya
1:1
May 6, 2023 QSL 2
Lusail vs Al Shahaniya
1:1
Feb 10, 2023 QSL 2
Al Shahaniya vs Lusail
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Shahaniya 19 / 100
Lusail 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Shahaniya Lusail

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lusail Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Shahaniya scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Lusail has conceded goals in 79% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Al Shahaniya went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al Shahaniya VS Lusail
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Shahaniya

(Home)
28 Sept
Al Shahaniya
1 : 3
Al Duhail
20 Sept
Al Ahli
0 : 1
Al Shahaniya
12 Sept
Al Duhail
1 : 1
Al Shahaniya
04 Sept
Shamal
4 : 2
Al Shahaniya
29 Aug
Al Shahaniya
3 : 2
Al Sailiya
Page 1 of 6

Lusail

(Away)
29 Sept
Al Waab
1 : 1
Lusail
21 Sept
Lusail
1 : 0
Al Markhiya
11 Sept
Al Gharafa
0 : 0
Lusail
04 Sept
Lusail
4 : 0
Al Wakra
28 Aug
Al Ahli
3 : 3
Lusail
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Sadd 4 4 0 0 19:7 12
2 Al Rayyan 4 3 1 0 7:2 10
3 Shamal 4 2 2 0 10:6 8
4 Al Arabi (Qatar) 4 1 3 0 5:3 6
5 Al Duhail 4 1 3 0 5:3 6
6 Lusail 4 1 2 1 7:4 5
7 Al Shahaniya 4 1 1 2 7:9 4
8 Al Ahli 4 1 1 2 5:9 4
9 Al Gharafa 4 1 1 2 4:8 4
10 Qatar SC 4 0 2 2 4:9 2
11 Al Wakra 4 0 2 2 4:9 2
12 Al Sailiya 4 0 0 4 5:13 0
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Gulf Club Champions League 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - QSL (Relegation)
Relegation - QSL 2 2027/2028 (Main)