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Al Shahaniya vs Umm-Salal Prediction & H2H Stats

Qatar Qatar

QSL 2025/2026 Jassim Bin Hamad Stadium, Doha
Our Tip

Match Events

8'
Mutasem M.
26'
Udosen E.
52'
Aholou J.

AI Match Summary

The QSL 2025/2026 game between Al Shahaniya and Umm-Salal finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al Shahaniya.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Al Shahaniya
20%
Draws
47%
Umm-Salal
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Umm-Salal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Umm-Salal's 1.74 goals per match outpaces what Al Shahaniya have produced (1.3).
  • Al Shahaniya are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular QSL 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Al Shahaniya Clean Sheet 20%
Umm-Salal Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Shahaniya Umm-Salal
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 12 12
Draws 4 5
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 1.3 1.74
Goals Conceded 1.73 2.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 16, 2026 QSL
Al Shahaniya vs Umm-Salal
3:0
Aug 23, 2025 QSL
Umm-Salal vs Al Shahaniya
2:0
Feb 23, 2025 QSL
Al Shahaniya vs Umm-Salal
3:2
Sep 21, 2024 QSL
Umm-Salal vs Al Shahaniya
4:2
Mar 5, 2020 QSL
Umm-Salal vs Al Shahaniya
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Shahaniya Compare

Top Goalscorer Madjer L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader El Jemili J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Umm-Salal Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Shahaniya 49 / 100
Umm-Salal 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Shahaniya Umm-Salal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Shahaniya Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Umm-Salal let in goals in 84% of their last 31 matches.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Al Shahaniya scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Al Shahaniya stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al Shahaniya VS Umm-Salal
1.63 Goals Scored 0.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Shahaniya

(Home)
28 Sept
Al Shahaniya
1 : 3
Al Duhail
20 Sept
Al Ahli
0 : 1
Al Shahaniya
12 Sept
Al Duhail
1 : 1
Al Shahaniya
04 Sept
Shamal
4 : 2
Al Shahaniya
29 Aug
Al Shahaniya
3 : 2
Al Sailiya
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Umm-Salal

(Away)
29 Sept
Al Khor
0 : 2
Umm-Salal
21 Sept
Umm-Salal
1 : 0
Al Kharitiyath
07 Sept
Umm-Salal
1 : 5
Al Khor
30 Aug
Al Mesaimeer
1 : 2
Umm-Salal
25 Aug
Umm-Salal
1 : 1
Qatar U23
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Sadd 22 14 3 5 56:30 45
2 Shamal 22 12 4 6 39:28 40
3 Al Rayyan 22 11 5 6 46:32 38
4 Al Gharafa 22 11 3 8 36:36 36
5 Al Duhail 22 9 6 7 40:27 33
6 Al Arabi (Qatar) 22 9 5 8 37:41 32
7 Al Wakra 22 8 6 8 36:34 30
8 Qatar SC 22 8 5 9 32:36 29
9 Al Ahli 22 8 2 12 34:43 26
10 Al Sailiya 22 6 4 12 25:38 22
11 Al Shahaniya 22 6 3 13 22:39 21
12 Umm-Salal 22 6 2 14 37:56 20
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Relegation - QSL 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - QSL 2 (Main)